{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "c43fc561-8b3d-4ed3-92be-9590b6db09b0",
    "symbol": "GRONG",
    "name": "Grong Sparebank",
    "exchange": "OSL",
    "country": "NO",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "OSEBX.OL",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 80.453,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 37.391,
    "architecture_energy": 21.356,
    "architecture_maturity": 33.442,
    "architecture_confidence": 57.11,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 43.95,
        "rotation_up": 38.06,
        "upward_expansion": 67.16,
        "deceleration": 63.27,
        "rotation_down": 22.65,
        "downward_expansion": 8.16
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        194.786667,
        194.837092,
        194.565582,
        191.901986
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 194.919998,
    "trend_reference": 186.05502,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.047647,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 142.709401,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.365853,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 2.312146,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.146551,
    "excess_performance": 0.021557,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.047647,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.075149,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.365853,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.092313,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.023121,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.076086,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.146551,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.033138,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 210,
      "relative_activity": 0.136986,
      "balance": 1.033138,
      "dry_up": 0.725538,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.038035,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.229979,
      "from_high_reference": -0.025303,
      "from_low_reference": 0.452363
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 186.05502,
      "fair_value_reference": 142.709401,
      "structural_low": 159.9129,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.013514,
        "positive_rate": 0.777778,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.777778,
        "median_excess_return": 0.014748,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.145454,
        "worst_return": -0.02965,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.041381,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.020358,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.244188,
        "worst_return": 0.007092,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.143102,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.061965,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.250601,
        "worst_return": 0.042411,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.243619,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.147487,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.340524,
        "worst_return": 0.146715,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2023-12-01",
        "end": "2024-03-08",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.071942,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-03-15",
        "end": "2024-05-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.017428,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-05-17",
        "end": "2024-07-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.000142,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-07-19",
        "end": "2024-08-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.014286,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-08-23",
        "end": "2024-10-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.054211,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-10-11",
        "end": "2024-11-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.027679,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-11-08",
        "end": "2025-10-03",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.110566,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-10-10",
        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.0679,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-11-28",
        "end": "2026-01-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.008994,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-01-23",
        "end": "2026-02-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.090303,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-02-13",
        "end": "2026-05-22",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.111294,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-05-29",
        "end": "2026-06-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.015181,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-06-19",
        "end": "2026-07-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.016675,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-07-17",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.005779,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "typical_volume": 2076.15,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "fair_value": 138.391908,
        "relative_strength": 7.2012,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
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        "relative_strength": 11.749073,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "relative_strength": 4.869874,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 1819.4,
        "trend": 181.280806,
        "fair_value": 140.844971,
        "relative_strength": 7.752822,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 42.291776,
        "energy": 29.096341,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 193.800003,
        "volume": 640,
        "typical_volume": 1651.9,
        "trend": 182.385807,
        "fair_value": 141.304124,
        "relative_strength": 5.715594,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 37.300033,
        "energy": 21.957919,
        "activity_lines": [
          194.024003,
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          193.740125,
          189.702546
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 195.0,
        "volume": 1875,
        "typical_volume": 1547.2,
        "trend": 183.609556,
        "fair_value": 141.770968,
        "relative_strength": 3.548044,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 35.828007,
        "energy": 18.790088,
        "activity_lines": [
          194.102669,
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          194.091479,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 195.0,
        "volume": 1724,
        "typical_volume": 1581.3,
        "trend": 184.833306,
        "fair_value": 142.243069,
        "relative_strength": 2.880397,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 36.68245,
        "energy": 22.036711,
        "activity_lines": [
          194.374668,
          194.937092,
          194.369171,
          191.251232
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 194.919998,
        "volume": 210,
        "typical_volume": 1533.0,
        "trend": 186.05502,
        "fair_value": 142.709401,
        "relative_strength": 2.312146,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 37.3913,
        "energy": 21.356314,
        "activity_lines": [
          194.786667,
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          194.565582,
          191.901986
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}