{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c461a2f3-e6d0-493e-95fd-23018ca324c5", "symbol": "001313", "name": "Guangdong Yuehai Feeds Group Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -52.655, "architecture_energy": 44.785, "architecture_maturity": 15.717, "architecture_confidence": 92.012, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.09, "rotation_up": 16.83, "upward_expansion": 10.5, "deceleration": 39.24, "rotation_down": 55.41, "downward_expansion": 79.17 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.245333, 7.334545, 7.711381, 7.782688 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 7.29, "trend_reference": 7.812, "distance_from_trend": -0.06682, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7.917583, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.079265, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -8.635304, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.076046, "excess_performance": -0.083445, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.06682, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.020398, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.079265, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.28239, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.086353, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.083853, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.076046, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.774745, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 57806205, "relative_activity": 0.783116, "balance": 0.774745, "dry_up": 0.956419, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.116282, "annualized_volatility": 0.456759, "from_high_reference": -0.268072, "from_low_reference": 0.133748 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.812, "fair_value_reference": 7.917583, "structural_low": 6.43, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.041763, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.038277, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.096176, "worst_return": -0.058333, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.03247, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.007018, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.020858, "worst_return": -0.044083, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.133588, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.131237, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.123986, "worst_return": -0.14319, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -11.205616, "energy": 16.719989, "activity_lines": [ 7.634, 7.777818, 8.007857, 7.958065 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 7.24, "volume": 104688668, "typical_volume": 71905644.05, "trend": 7.864, "fair_value": 7.942316, "relative_strength": -7.179952, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -21.739478, "energy": 18.483532, "activity_lines": [ 7.542, 7.619455, 7.936619, 7.915763 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.95, "volume": 64695200, "typical_volume": 72841395.25, "trend": 7.825667, "fair_value": 7.931724, "relative_strength": -10.664112, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -33.369927, "energy": 21.220999, "activity_lines": [ 7.367333, 7.451091, 7.840333, 7.856796 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.2, "volume": 55204678, "typical_volume": 73299014.15, "trend": 7.813, "fair_value": 7.924616, "relative_strength": -5.535982, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -27.102207, "energy": 21.542588, "activity_lines": [ 7.299333, 7.366727, 7.770619, 7.81643 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.29, "volume": 57806205, "typical_volume": 73815678.5, "trend": 7.812, "fair_value": 7.917583, "relative_strength": -8.635304, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.655481, "energy": 44.785478, "activity_lines": [ 7.245333, 7.334545, 7.711381, 7.782688 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }