{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c4625797-5027-464b-9dba-f1a9494fb0b7", "symbol": "SCKT", "name": "Socket Mobile Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -79.073, "architecture_energy": 90.177, "architecture_maturity": 60.0, "architecture_confidence": 81.168, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.0, "rotation_up": 9.59, "upward_expansion": 21.47, "deceleration": 37.23, "rotation_down": 84.24, "downward_expansion": 99.47 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.433827, 0.515958, 0.654827, 0.734323 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 0.3861, "trend_reference": 0.84957, "distance_from_trend": -0.545535, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1.101958, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.649624, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -64.659962, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.655268, "excess_performance": -0.842721, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.545535, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.177129, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.649624, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.379274, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.6466, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.310248, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.655268, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.863322, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 820563, "relative_activity": 1.268564, "balance": 0.863322, "dry_up": 0.713615, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.299215, "annualized_volatility": 0.579024, "from_high_reference": -0.716103, "from_low_reference": 0.016053 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.84957, "fair_value_reference": 1.101958, "structural_low": 0.38, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 38, "median_return": -0.028576, "positive_rate": 0.368421, "directional_follow_through": 0.578947, "median_excess_return": -0.027223, "regime_survival": 0.868421, "best_return": 0.340509, "worst_return": -0.280495, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.130081, "positive_rate": 0.384615, "directional_follow_through": 0.615385, "median_excess_return": -0.128375, "regime_survival": 0.615385, "best_return": 0.171429, "worst_return": -0.324956, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.191304, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.163238, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.121495, "worst_return": -0.382789, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.299979, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.482271, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.196262, "worst_return": -0.592157, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-08-16", "end": "2024-08-30", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.263158, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-09-06", "end": "2024-11-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.25641, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-11-29", "end": "2024-12-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.172778, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-01-03", "end": "2025-01-24", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.205224, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-01-31", "end": "2025-02-14", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.110406, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-02-21", "end": "2025-03-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.095122, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-03-14", "end": "2025-04-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.103448, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-07-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.008696, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-11", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.221793, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2025-11-21", 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0.762792, 0.825812 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.4711, "volume": 290041, "typical_volume": 651628.5, "trend": 0.89329, "fair_value": 1.115366, "relative_strength": -55.865727, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.195916, "energy": 90.715201, "activity_lines": [ 0.523567, 0.620615, 0.729266, 0.797329 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.4023, "volume": 448469, "typical_volume": 611810.5, "trend": 0.8717, "fair_value": 1.108778, "relative_strength": -61.845163, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.881954, "energy": 92.026656, "activity_lines": [ 0.474573, 0.565689, 0.691601, 0.765652 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.3861, "volume": 820563, "typical_volume": 646844.15, "trend": 0.84957, "fair_value": 1.101958, "relative_strength": -64.659962, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.073181, "energy": 90.177441, "activity_lines": [ 0.433827, 0.515958, 0.654827, 0.734323 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }