{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c474ee45-dd6c-4b2f-acc8-d0d179103c94", "symbol": "002524", "name": "Guangzheng Eye Hospital Group Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -41.548, "architecture_energy": 28.563, "architecture_maturity": 62.292, "architecture_confidence": 84.703, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.89, "rotation_up": 25.46, "upward_expansion": 15.32, "deceleration": 46.44, "rotation_down": 34.64, "downward_expansion": 62.98 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.678, 3.632545, 3.765762, 3.927978 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 3.84, "trend_reference": 4.131, "distance_from_trend": -0.070443, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.525321, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.151441, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.098913, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.152318, "excess_performance": -0.159718, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.070443, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.062273, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.151441, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.095087, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.130989, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.048173, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.152318, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.487879, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 72116725, "relative_activity": 1.143095, "balance": 0.487879, "dry_up": 1.394774, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.087139, "annualized_volatility": 0.324526, "from_high_reference": -0.309353, "from_low_reference": 0.192547 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.131, "fair_value_reference": 4.525321, "structural_low": 3.22, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": -0.009259, "positive_rate": 0.464286, "directional_follow_through": 0.535714, "median_excess_return": 0.002574, "regime_survival": 0.785714, "best_return": 0.164134, "worst_return": -0.221445, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.056765, "positive_rate": 0.3, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": -0.080486, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.269113, "worst_return": -0.237762, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.083748, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.127392, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.140673, "worst_return": -0.310476, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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3.686909, 3.911714, 4.066194 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3.6, "volume": 128623100, "typical_volume": 64572347.3, "trend": 4.188, "fair_value": 4.576282, "relative_strength": -17.471244, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.485726, "energy": 48.083086, "activity_lines": [ 3.612, 3.645273, 3.86319, 4.027118 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.45, "volume": 86277707, "typical_volume": 63346242.65, "trend": 4.158333, "fair_value": 4.559103, "relative_strength": -20.446237, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.123447, "energy": 44.664445, "activity_lines": [ 3.576, 3.592545, 3.805952, 3.979505 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.66, "volume": 64962202, "typical_volume": 62804662.8, "trend": 4.140333, "fair_value": 4.542308, "relative_strength": -13.583806, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.020613, "energy": 34.281912, "activity_lines": [ 3.606667, 3.592, 3.774857, 3.947355 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.84, "volume": 72116725, "typical_volume": 63089030.15, "trend": 4.131, "fair_value": 4.525321, "relative_strength": -13.098913, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.547708, "energy": 28.562983, "activity_lines": [ 3.678, 3.632545, 3.765762, 3.927978 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }