{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c48e95d4-49ef-4ae9-98cd-cba7376aa00b", "symbol": "TEGH", "name": "Thai Eastern Group Holdings Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3c", "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch", "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch", "confidence": 84.094, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -32.33, "architecture_energy": 30.101, "architecture_maturity": 30.158, "architecture_confidence": 69.265, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.16, "rotation_up": 21.75, "upward_expansion": 16.66, "deceleration": 49.35, "rotation_down": 55.14, "downward_expansion": 49.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.068, 3.082545, 3.10619, 3.10972 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 3.04, "trend_reference": 3.084364, "distance_from_trend": -0.014384, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2.831216, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.073744, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -12.222778, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.04093, "excess_performance": -0.151395, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.014384, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.040334, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.073744, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.036604, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.122228, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.054797, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.04093, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.444111, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3776000, "relative_activity": 1.091281, "balance": 0.444111, "dry_up": 1.724048, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.031377, "annualized_volatility": 0.109385, "from_high_reference": -0.105882, "from_low_reference": 0.159894 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.084364, "fair_value_reference": 2.831216, "structural_low": 2.789418, "invalidation": "A decisive 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"Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 16.159584, "energy": 11.867917, "activity_lines": [ 3.105333, 3.122182, 3.135475, 3.096777 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 3.12, "volume": 475400, "typical_volume": 4565185.0, "trend": 3.031608, "fair_value": 2.823856, "relative_strength": -11.449167, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 15.70732, "energy": 10.912465, "activity_lines": [ 3.108, 3.118545, 3.134826, 3.103231 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 3.1, "volume": 5042800, "typical_volume": 4533230.0, "trend": 3.045081, "fair_value": 2.824061, "relative_strength": -12.193496, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 12.554526, "energy": 8.617781, "activity_lines": [ 3.105333, 3.113091, 3.131589, 3.107643 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3.08, "volume": 8380200, "typical_volume": 4755260.0, "trend": 3.057263, "fair_value": 2.824138, "relative_strength": -13.407445, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 7.076603, "energy": 7.325304, "activity_lines": [ 3.097333, 3.105455, 3.126306, 3.109896 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.08, "volume": 8934300, "typical_volume": 4838070.0, "trend": 3.068198, "fair_value": 2.824981, "relative_strength": -13.343802, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 6.049731, "energy": 7.813808, "activity_lines": [ 3.090667, 3.098909, 3.120798, 3.111363 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.08, "volume": 2771400, "typical_volume": 4649090.0, "trend": 3.07726, "fair_value": 2.827352, "relative_strength": -12.05687, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 4.824095, "energy": 8.897426, "activity_lines": [ 3.085333, 3.093818, 3.115333, 3.112124 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.04, "volume": 3776000, "typical_volume": 3460155.0, "trend": 3.084364, "fair_value": 2.831216, "relative_strength": -12.222778, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -32.330107, "energy": 30.100577, "activity_lines": [ 3.068, 3.082545, 3.10619, 3.10972 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }