{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "c48faa0d-14c6-4d7d-a651-61f0c40adc1a",
    "symbol": "VISTN",
    "name": "Vistin Pharma ASA",
    "exchange": "OSL",
    "country": "NO",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "OSEBX.OL",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch",
    "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch",
    "confidence": 67.638,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -37.944,
    "architecture_energy": 45.911,
    "architecture_maturity": 6.499,
    "architecture_confidence": 64.191,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 21.86,
        "rotation_up": 21.75,
        "upward_expansion": 17.09,
        "deceleration": 45.94,
        "rotation_down": 60.29,
        "downward_expansion": 58.76
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        20.16,
        20.292728,
        20.59327,
        20.675524
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 20.0,
    "trend_reference": 20.64497,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.031241,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 20.928321,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.044357,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -14.334829,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.03126,
    "excess_performance": -0.093734,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.031241,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.014108,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.044357,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.067209,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.143348,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.005773,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.03126,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.172889,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 48790,
      "relative_activity": 0.524478,
      "balance": 0.172889,
      "dry_up": 0.491694,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.030282,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.144295,
      "from_high_reference": -0.172546,
      "from_low_reference": 0.079102
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 20.64497,
      "fair_value_reference": 20.928321,
      "structural_low": 19.107142,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.027778,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.028738,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.012821,
        "worst_return": -0.052174,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.074074,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.141199,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.025641,
        "worst_return": -0.113043,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.047826,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.219017,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.100319,
        "worst_return": -0.174074,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.141792,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.255657,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.061361,
        "worst_return": -0.222222,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-01-24",
        "end": "2025-01-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.012821,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-02-07",
        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.029787,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-03-07",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.083333,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-06-06",
        "end": "2025-08-29",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.016529,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-09-05",
        "end": "2025-09-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.017167,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-09-19",
        "end": "2025-09-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.025316,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-10-03",
        "end": "2025-10-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.03913,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-10-31",
        "end": "2026-02-13",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.027523,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-02-20",
        "end": "2026-03-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.014085,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-03-20",
        "end": "2026-04-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.046296,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-04-24",
        "end": "2026-06-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.038141,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-06-12",
        "end": "2026-06-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.009756,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-07-03",
        "end": "2026-07-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.019608,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-07-31",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.009901,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "typical_volume": 134396.0,
        "trend": 17.621505,
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "relative_strength": -12.011352,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 103122.2,
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        "fair_value": 20.914453,
        "relative_strength": -10.978562,
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        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -19.626286,
        "energy": 28.559405,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 73517,
        "typical_volume": 97035.0,
        "trend": 20.606339,
        "fair_value": 20.923729,
        "relative_strength": -10.686607,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -15.196019,
        "energy": 17.07091,
        "activity_lines": [
          20.513333,
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          20.821118,
          20.783702
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 20.0,
        "volume": 22190,
        "typical_volume": 96503.75,
        "trend": 20.623363,
        "fair_value": 20.922669,
        "relative_strength": -14.826816,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -41.826264,
        "energy": 40.084461,
        "activity_lines": [
          20.34,
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          20.73611,
          20.744583
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 20.200001,
        "volume": 38464,
        "typical_volume": 95554.25,
        "trend": 20.647053,
        "fair_value": 20.926136,
        "relative_strength": -13.793956,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -31.645675,
        "energy": 38.164487,
        "activity_lines": [
          20.266667,
          20.378182,
          20.673176,
          20.71727
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 20.0,
        "volume": 48790,
        "typical_volume": 93025.8,
        "trend": 20.64497,
        "fair_value": 20.928321,
        "relative_strength": -14.334829,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -37.943633,
        "energy": 45.911178,
        "activity_lines": [
          20.16,
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          20.59327,
          20.675524
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}