{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c49789fe-b590-4dbb-83b5-7915a3924cf0", "symbol": "BY", "name": "Byline Bancorp Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 71.998, "architecture_energy": 76.085, "architecture_maturity": 44.195, "architecture_confidence": 84.678, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.0, "rotation_up": 76.57, "upward_expansion": 94.3, "deceleration": 44.64, "rotation_down": 14.55, "downward_expansion": 16.3 }, "activity_lines": [ 38.602295, 37.874901, 36.158042, 35.006741 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 38.83, "trend_reference": 33.693867, "distance_from_trend": 0.152435, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 26.487311, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.465985, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 10.848641, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.162977, "excess_performance": 0.037352, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.152435, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.090027, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.465985, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.141167, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.108486, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.085011, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.162977, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.43976, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1075191, "relative_activity": 0.822527, "balance": 1.43976, "dry_up": 1.052583, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.040499, "annualized_volatility": 0.195639, "from_high_reference": -0.029978, "from_low_reference": 0.535393 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 33.693867, "fair_value_reference": 26.487311, "structural_low": 29.612189, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": -0.000642, "positive_rate": 0.482759, "directional_follow_through": 0.482759, "median_excess_return": -0.027646, "regime_survival": 0.758621, "best_return": 0.129464, "worst_return": -0.136568, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.012741, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": -0.000162, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.178985, "worst_return": -0.310827, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.035834, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.002966, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.412453, "worst_return": -0.159692, "sufficient": true }, 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"regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.246563, "energy": 88.455073, "activity_lines": [ 37.349674, 36.274122, 34.774487, 33.893343 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 38.464527, "volume": 1794173, "typical_volume": 1290598.4, "trend": 33.041534, "fair_value": 26.259988, "relative_strength": 15.948736, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.471094, "energy": 84.036497, "activity_lines": [ 37.834895, 36.861049, 35.241375, 34.262505 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 39.132176, "volume": 1362026, "typical_volume": 1311652.4, "trend": 33.38498, "fair_value": 26.37449, "relative_strength": 16.117774, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.218155, "energy": 82.323331, "activity_lines": [ 38.321697, 37.449647, 35.734914, 34.65545 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 38.83, "volume": 1075191, "typical_volume": 1307180.6, "trend": 33.693867, "fair_value": 26.487311, "relative_strength": 10.848641, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.997651, "energy": 76.085156, "activity_lines": [ 38.602295, 37.874901, 36.158042, 35.006741 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }