{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "c498f26e-10bb-4b21-b231-8c90911fd46a",
    "symbol": "MOOO34",
    "name": "Altria Group, Inc.",
    "exchange": "SAO",
    "country": "BR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^BVSP",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 60.754,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 14.867,
    "architecture_energy": 14.28,
    "architecture_maturity": 56.551,
    "architecture_confidence": 90.293,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 46.48,
        "rotation_up": 21.51,
        "upward_expansion": 56.76,
        "deceleration": 88.2,
        "rotation_down": 35.86,
        "downward_expansion": 22.76
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        70.866934,
        71.969865,
        71.233926,
        70.268238
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 68.402,
    "trend_reference": 68.876639,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.006891,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 55.119427,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.240978,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -1.879792,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.019803,
    "excess_performance": 0.076852,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.006891,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.058265,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.240978,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.048255,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.018798,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.101438,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.019803,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.217848,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 75,
      "relative_activity": 0.212164,
      "balance": 1.217848,
      "dry_up": 1.481612,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.043917,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.24271,
      "from_high_reference": -0.114147,
      "from_low_reference": 0.185815
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 68.876639,
      "fair_value_reference": 55.119427,
      "structural_low": 62.036004,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": 0.020576,
        "positive_rate": 0.636364,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.636364,
        "median_excess_return": 0.070575,
        "regime_survival": 0.454545,
        "best_return": 0.107604,
        "worst_return": -0.164451,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.092524,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.111996,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.14007,
        "worst_return": -0.183724,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.054876,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.065997,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.187163,
        "worst_return": -0.08422,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.201136,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.264493,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.361921,
        "worst_return": 0.04035,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-10-11",
        "end": "2024-11-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.127358,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-11-08",
        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.019866,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.077343,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.000987,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-07-04",
        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.088707,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-08-15",
        "end": "2025-10-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.017583,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-10-10",
        "end": "2025-10-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.049475,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-10-31",
        "end": "2025-12-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.069876,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-01-02",
        "end": "2026-01-23",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.035211,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-01-30",
        "end": "2026-02-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.04917,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-02-20",
        "end": "2026-04-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.021989,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-04-10",
        "end": "2026-05-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.08325,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-05-22",
        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.064001,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-08-07",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "typical_volume": 2261.0,
        "trend": 37.914544,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "trend": 64.414323,
        "fair_value": 52.006108,
        "relative_strength": -16.622851,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "trend": 64.301962,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "fair_value": 52.423248,
        "relative_strength": -1.246642,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 954.5,
        "trend": 64.677148,
        "fair_value": 52.653197,
        "relative_strength": 0.845659,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 77.837975,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "relative_strength": -0.169852,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 68.680534,
        "volume": 15,
        "typical_volume": 948.0,
        "trend": 65.405643,
        "fair_value": 53.076206,
        "relative_strength": -1.372178,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "direction": 60.858801,
        "energy": 72.529474,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 69.440002,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 907.75,
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        "fair_value": 53.287785,
        "relative_strength": -1.284914,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "fair_value": 53.515367,
        "relative_strength": 2.899915,
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        "energy": 40.732453,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 75.772003,
        "volume": 660,
        "typical_volume": 324.75,
        "trend": 66.617478,
        "fair_value": 53.763111,
        "relative_strength": 6.594668,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.536192,
        "energy": 55.768832,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 74.888,
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        "typical_volume": 354.5,
        "trend": 67.096667,
        "fair_value": 53.997877,
        "relative_strength": 4.77237,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 76.621651,
        "energy": 71.428587,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 72.816002,
        "volume": 145,
        "typical_volume": 354.75,
        "trend": 67.499444,
        "fair_value": 54.226464,
        "relative_strength": 0.009538,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.070366,
        "energy": 70.454998,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 75.036003,
        "volume": 995,
        "typical_volume": 329.25,
        "trend": 67.907096,
        "fair_value": 54.469282,
        "relative_strength": 5.668934,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.98816,
        "energy": 74.977879,
        "activity_lines": [
          74.256135,
          73.07289,
          71.052461,
          69.82979
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 74.222,
        "volume": 880,
        "typical_volume": 346.75,
        "trend": 68.2616,
        "fair_value": 54.708881,
        "relative_strength": 4.545847,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.40029,
        "energy": 50.287547,
        "activity_lines": [
          74.350001,
          73.37359,
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          70.237203
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 68.860001,
        "volume": 145,
        "typical_volume": 352.75,
        "trend": 68.519356,
        "fair_value": 54.915212,
        "relative_strength": -4.686386,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 30.364951,
        "energy": 22.104709,
        "activity_lines": [
          72.454401,
          72.67056,
          71.383013,
          70.27581
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 68.402,
        "volume": 75,
        "typical_volume": 353.5,
        "trend": 68.876639,
        "fair_value": 55.119427,
        "relative_strength": -1.879792,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 14.866513,
        "energy": 14.2801,
        "activity_lines": [
          70.866934,
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          71.233926,
          70.268238
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}