{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c4a3a886-1844-470a-a0c9-5881997c49a3", "symbol": "SLS", "name": "Solaris Resources Inc.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 72.886, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.398, "architecture_energy": 65.733, "architecture_maturity": 13.031, "architecture_confidence": 87.599, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.43, "rotation_up": 10.72, "upward_expansion": 14.35, "deceleration": 38.25, "rotation_down": 68.79, "downward_expansion": 87.68 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.774, 11.192909, 12.033714, 12.296946 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 11.17, "trend_reference": 12.591333, "distance_from_trend": -0.112882, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 6.868333, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.626304, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -10.002962, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.18586, "excess_performance": -0.306281, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.112882, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.028592, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.626304, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.569173, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.10003, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.396776, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.18586, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.426002, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1349400, "relative_activity": 0.94476, "balance": 0.426002, "dry_up": 1.076244, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.119172, "annualized_volatility": 0.547854, "from_high_reference": -0.288988, "from_low_reference": 0.623547 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 12.591333, "fair_value_reference": 6.868333, "structural_low": 9.62, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": -0.001684, "positive_rate": 0.434783, "directional_follow_through": 0.521739, "median_excess_return": -0.016036, "regime_survival": 0.782609, "best_return": 0.41195, "worst_return": -0.389032, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.045914, "positive_rate": 0.3, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.051782, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 0.620482, "worst_return": -0.307761, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.021739, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.032325, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.724359, "worst_return": -0.451383, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"color": "blue", "start": "2024-06-14", "end": "2024-06-21", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.070922, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-06-28", "end": "2024-08-02", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.164921, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-08-09", "end": "2024-11-15", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.076923, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-11-22", "end": "2024-12-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.006608, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-12-27", "end": "2025-03-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.037281, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-03-14", "end": "2025-05-02", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 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-53.110844, "energy": 64.678051, "activity_lines": [ 11.222667, 11.911091, 12.522333, 12.638 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 10.79, "volume": 1219600, "typical_volume": 1530400.0, "trend": 12.594, "fair_value": 6.811795, "relative_strength": -10.079207, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.536722, "energy": 69.878364, "activity_lines": [ 10.953333, 11.612545, 12.347238, 12.520796 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.54, "volume": 1383800, "typical_volume": 1509300.0, "trend": 12.585667, "fair_value": 6.837436, "relative_strength": -12.065201, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.956119, "energy": 72.645846, "activity_lines": [ 10.716, 11.320364, 12.157714, 12.38828 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.17, "volume": 1349400, "typical_volume": 1428300.0, "trend": 12.591333, "fair_value": 6.868333, "relative_strength": -10.002962, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.398153, "energy": 65.733318, "activity_lines": [ 10.774, 11.192909, 12.033714, 12.296946 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }