{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c4a4f031-43a9-4acb-9b16-2cb140b75cd6", "symbol": "R14", "name": "Eneco Energy Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -54.335, "architecture_energy": 39.693, "architecture_maturity": 19.547, "architecture_confidence": 92.902, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.23, "rotation_up": 18.03, "upward_expansion": 5.63, "deceleration": 46.79, "rotation_down": 51.65, "downward_expansion": 76.63 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.008, 0.008109, 0.008419, 0.008591 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.008, "trend_reference": 0.008833, "distance_from_trend": -0.09434, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.009314, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.141087, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -28.07146, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.111111, "excess_performance": -0.265946, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.09434, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.053571, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.141087, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.070273, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.280715, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.129953, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.111111, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.0, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 482300, "relative_activity": 0.024099, "balance": 0.0, "dry_up": 0.277026, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.096154, "annualized_volatility": 0.355771, "from_high_reference": -0.333333, "from_low_reference": 0.142857 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.008833, "fair_value_reference": 0.009314, "structural_low": 0.007, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.263158, "directional_follow_through": 0.263158, "median_excess_return": -0.009913, "regime_survival": 0.736842, "best_return": 0.125, "worst_return": -0.272727, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.008879, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.111111, "worst_return": -0.272727, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.076923, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.069758, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.111111, "worst_return": -0.272727, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.008, "volume": 3744500, "typical_volume": 20048490.0, "trend": 0.008967, "fair_value": 0.009397, "relative_strength": -27.862777, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.512274, "energy": 55.552753, "activity_lines": [ 0.008, 0.008273, 0.008548, 0.008712 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.008, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 19991890.0, "trend": 0.0089, "fair_value": 0.009353, "relative_strength": -27.856413, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.080531, "energy": 48.775464, "activity_lines": [ 0.008, 0.008182, 0.008481, 0.008649 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.008, "volume": 482300, "typical_volume": 20013405.0, "trend": 0.008833, "fair_value": 0.009314, "relative_strength": -28.07146, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.334957, "energy": 39.693163, "activity_lines": [ 0.008, 0.008109, 0.008419, 0.008591 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }