{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c4a8e41f-3c47-4fdb-9974-adaf1cda17bc", "symbol": "XYLU", "name": "Global X S&P 500 Covered Call UCITS ETF Inc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 61.012, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 70.071, "architecture_energy": 56.887, "architecture_maturity": 31.438, "architecture_confidence": 84.228, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 5.59, "rotation_up": 61.16, "upward_expansion": 85.72, "deceleration": 48.21, "rotation_down": 20.48, "downward_expansion": 10.05 }, "activity_lines": [ 15.676067, 15.602941, 15.456548, 15.295051 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 15.806, "trend_reference": 15.122359, "distance_from_trend": 0.045207, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 13.244834, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.193371, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -0.976441, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.060596, "excess_performance": 0.00936, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.045207, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.02217, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.193371, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.013513, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.009764, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.027356, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.060596, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.537207, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 99085, "relative_activity": 1.442705, "balance": 1.537207, "dry_up": 1.04335, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.020907, "annualized_volatility": 0.069903, "from_high_reference": -0.005036, "from_low_reference": 0.175827 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 15.122359, "fair_value_reference": 13.244834, "structural_low": 13.9819, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.007902, "positive_rate": 0.769231, "directional_follow_through": 0.769231, "median_excess_return": -0.023397, "regime_survival": 0.846154, "best_return": 0.022849, "worst_return": -0.069911, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.03472, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.024098, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.053257, "worst_return": -0.097729, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.03123, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.070639, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.097728, "worst_return": -0.035267, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"energy": 62.816287, "activity_lines": [ 15.642097, 15.541835, 15.36484, 15.220602 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 15.508, "volume": 42835, "typical_volume": 67068.9, "trend": 15.09185, "fair_value": 13.216921, "relative_strength": -2.609548, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.551408, "energy": 52.572482, "activity_lines": [ 15.616576, 15.546289, 15.398371, 15.248977 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 15.806, "volume": 99085, "typical_volume": 68680.0, "trend": 15.122359, "fair_value": 13.244834, "relative_strength": -0.976441, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.070823, "energy": 56.887454, "activity_lines": [ 15.676067, 15.602941, 15.456548, 15.295051 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }