{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c4b4463b-de04-4c4e-bd64-49d2639899ef", "symbol": "ALTME", "name": "TME Pharma N.V.", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 69.69, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Structural failure", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -67.692, "architecture_energy": 76.501, "architecture_maturity": 17.397, "architecture_confidence": 81.652, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.58, "rotation_up": 8.85, "upward_expansion": 17.51, "deceleration": 37.16, "rotation_down": 79.73, "downward_expansion": 95.51 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.06284, 0.066182, 0.071242, 0.072436 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 0.0625, "trend_reference": 0.072883, "distance_from_trend": -0.142465, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.198739, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.685517, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -25.907907, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.183007, "excess_performance": -0.236318, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.142465, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.007186, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.685517, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.051718, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.259079, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.186006, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.183007, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.904132, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 305463, "relative_activity": 0.425487, "balance": 0.904132, "dry_up": 0.520767, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.105969, "annualized_volatility": 0.362841, "from_high_reference": -0.475671, "from_low_reference": 0.27551 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.072883, "fair_value_reference": 0.198739, "structural_low": 0.0579, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.209512, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.197092, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.209512, "worst_return": -0.209512, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.028278, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.01094, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.028278, "worst_return": 0.028278, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.015424, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.042051, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.015424, "worst_return": 0.015424, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, 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"2025-06-06", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.044471, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-06-13", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.069212, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-09-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.138476, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-09-26", "end": "2025-11-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.193069, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-11-14", "end": "2025-12-05", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.105398, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-12-12", "end": "2026-02-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.186992, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", 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0.076818, 0.076729, 0.075508 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 0.0671, "volume": 451933, "typical_volume": 992330.0, "trend": 0.073057, "fair_value": 0.230045, "relative_strength": -21.092227, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -29.081563, "energy": 29.922157, "activity_lines": [ 0.071133, 0.074836, 0.075904, 0.075136 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.0636, "volume": 305087, "typical_volume": 935171.15, "trend": 0.073247, "fair_value": 0.222387, "relative_strength": -24.321182, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -39.904408, "energy": 57.503065, "activity_lines": [ 0.068107, 0.072398, 0.074774, 0.074526 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.0618, "volume": 652519, "typical_volume": 926542.4, "trend": 0.07313, "fair_value": 0.214683, "relative_strength": -25.861958, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -49.838129, "energy": 66.567085, "activity_lines": [ 0.0655, 0.069916, 0.073498, 0.073787 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.0626, "volume": 232396, "typical_volume": 761831.6, "trend": 0.072917, "fair_value": 0.207182, "relative_strength": -25.069422, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -43.843087, "energy": 67.649284, "activity_lines": [ 0.063927, 0.067893, 0.07234, 0.073108 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.0625, "volume": 305463, "typical_volume": 717913.95, "trend": 0.072883, "fair_value": 0.198739, "relative_strength": -25.907907, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.691757, "energy": 76.500502, "activity_lines": [ 0.06284, 0.066182, 0.071242, 0.072436 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }