{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c4b46306-5699-4aa4-a1a4-08146cd34373", "symbol": "DEEP", "name": "ACQUIRERS SMALL AND MICRO DEEP VALUE ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 79.993, "architecture_energy": 60.378, "architecture_maturity": 66.176, "architecture_confidence": 73.191, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.99, "rotation_up": 59.17, "upward_expansion": 82.48, "deceleration": 67.47, "rotation_down": 24.41, "downward_expansion": 9.14 }, "activity_lines": [ 42.863233, 42.590628, 41.591315, 40.621451 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 43.9342, "trend_reference": 39.555192, "distance_from_trend": 0.110706, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 34.453761, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.275164, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 3.915833, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.142791, "excess_performance": 0.017166, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.110706, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.06188, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.275164, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.068585, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.039158, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.02104, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.142791, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.780711, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4160, "relative_activity": 0.623889, "balance": 0.780711, "dry_up": 1.003247, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.030442, "annualized_volatility": 0.183704, "from_high_reference": -0.006011, "from_low_reference": 0.347924 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 39.555192, "fair_value_reference": 34.453761, "structural_low": 35.240498, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": -0.008283, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.02234, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.088831, "worst_return": -0.091328, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.067537, "positive_rate": 0.222222, "directional_follow_through": 0.222222, "median_excess_return": -0.037557, "regime_survival": 0.111111, "best_return": 0.054957, "worst_return": -0.127942, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.064228, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.051611, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.166558, "worst_return": -0.10479, "sufficient": true }, { 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[ 42.134735, 41.256539, 40.113725, 39.397667 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 42.5024, "volume": 6223, "typical_volume": 6442.5, "trend": 38.682782, "fair_value": 34.206464, "relative_strength": 3.592766, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.465792, "energy": 85.789815, "activity_lines": [ 42.397429, 41.583409, 40.434191, 39.657226 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 42.6095, "volume": 5144, "typical_volume": 6467.2, "trend": 38.911019, "fair_value": 34.270904, "relative_strength": 5.321042, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.400151, "energy": 84.766883, "activity_lines": [ 42.519397, 41.886628, 40.74803, 39.910562 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 42.2715, "volume": 8508, "typical_volume": 6576.6, "trend": 39.121941, "fair_value": 34.326804, "relative_strength": 4.968076, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.785131, "energy": 62.868057, "activity_lines": [ 42.480373, 42.091052, 41.007239, 40.127367 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 42.1854, "volume": 8946, "typical_volume": 6828.95, "trend": 39.339358, "fair_value": 34.383878, "relative_strength": 3.447569, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.18826, "energy": 53.063654, "activity_lines": [ 42.366193, 42.207587, 41.231643, 40.32501 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 43.9342, "volume": 4160, "typical_volume": 6667.85, "trend": 39.555192, "fair_value": 34.453761, "relative_strength": 3.915833, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.993402, "energy": 60.378358, "activity_lines": [ 42.863233, 42.590628, 41.591315, 40.621451 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }