{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "c4bfb7a9-f584-480f-ab3e-5c5e9cd1be4c",
    "symbol": "ALKAL",
    "name": "Kalray S.A.",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 55.308,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 2.43,
    "architecture_energy": 16.153,
    "architecture_maturity": 52.101,
    "architecture_confidence": 70.661,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 56.37,
        "rotation_up": 15.24,
        "upward_expansion": 41.56,
        "deceleration": 84.06,
        "rotation_down": 44.17,
        "downward_expansion": 37.89
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        7.409333,
        8.022909,
        8.613167,
        7.84071
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 7.32,
    "trend_reference": 6.6065,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.108,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 8.076528,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.09367,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 65.832564,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 1.661818,
    "excess_performance": 1.608507,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.108,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.653844,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.09367,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.066578,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.658326,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -2.321905,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.661818,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.23091,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 748534,
      "relative_activity": 0.401731,
      "balance": 2.23091,
      "dry_up": 0.542516,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.29319,
      "annualized_volatility": 1.302475,
      "from_high_reference": -0.505405,
      "from_low_reference": 14.574468
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 6.6065,
      "fair_value_reference": 8.076528,
      "structural_low": 2.785,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.038087,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.080129,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 1.608173,
        "worst_return": -0.280597,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.779812,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.795393,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 6.067947,
        "worst_return": -0.225746,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.331343,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.328581,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 15.33678,
        "worst_return": -0.397492,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.62859,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.654771,
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        "worst_return": -0.899813,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "end": "2023-05-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.169697,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2023-10-06",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-11-24",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.966912,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-07-18",
        "end": "2025-07-25",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.073171,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-08-15",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.085484,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-09-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.29078,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2026-01-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.813885,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 1867386.25,
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        "fair_value": 8.351143,
        "relative_strength": 92.063703,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 6.99,
        "volume": 1324855,
        "typical_volume": 1865085.9,
        "trend": 6.403833,
        "fair_value": 8.218387,
        "relative_strength": 67.014913,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 0.596015,
        "energy": 13.417303,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 7.32,
        "volume": 748534,
        "typical_volume": 1863273.45,
        "trend": 6.6065,
        "fair_value": 8.076528,
        "relative_strength": 65.832564,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 2.429512,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}