{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c4cb3f9f-465c-4f05-acf8-c888b55f4c12", "symbol": "XMED", "name": "Xtrackers MSCI Europe UCITS ETF 1C", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 81.017, "architecture_energy": 73.436, "architecture_maturity": 35.566, "architecture_confidence": 87.01, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.37, "rotation_up": 64.01, "upward_expansion": 86.12, "deceleration": 49.86, "rotation_down": 17.48, "downward_expansion": 15.12 }, "activity_lines": [ 138.263331, 137.148908, 135.378143, 133.684968 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 141.279999, "trend_reference": 132.09, "distance_from_trend": 0.069574, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 106.972967, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.320707, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 2.587222, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.070627, "excess_performance": 0.019392, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.069574, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.034996, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.320707, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.035226, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.025872, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.001367, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.070627, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.369754, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 29726, "relative_activity": 0.235548, "balance": 2.369754, "dry_up": 1.382728, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.021695, "annualized_volatility": 0.181765, "from_high_reference": -0.00451, "from_low_reference": 0.238864 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 132.09, "fair_value_reference": 106.972967, "structural_low": 116.940002, 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"Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.585587, "energy": 49.306176, "activity_lines": [ 134.494002, 133.758547, 131.881144, 131.060732 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 138.059998, "volume": 28400, "typical_volume": 144601.35, "trend": 130.127667, "fair_value": 105.376845, "relative_strength": 2.460783, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.774374, "energy": 65.86748, "activity_lines": [ 135.702668, 134.671456, 132.571382, 131.606861 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 135.720001, "volume": 114664, "typical_volume": 144809.4, "trend": 130.557667, "fair_value": 105.680338, "relative_strength": 2.460811, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.059195, "energy": 57.947989, "activity_lines": [ 135.923334, 135.023274, 133.01362, 131.967657 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 135.649994, "volume": 100420, "typical_volume": 145227.2, "trend": 130.922, "fair_value": 105.984153, "relative_strength": 1.406274, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.709639, "energy": 53.072827, "activity_lines": [ 135.916665, 135.296909, 133.443857, 132.296194 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 135.830002, "volume": 287651, "typical_volume": 150911.55, "trend": 131.265667, "fair_value": 106.286621, "relative_strength": 0.270441, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.51976, "energy": 51.736897, "activity_lines": [ 135.953999, 135.540909, 133.891572, 132.612839 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 138.259995, "volume": 280199, "typical_volume": 148565.35, "trend": 131.656334, "fair_value": 106.618544, "relative_strength": 0.748923, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.210794, "energy": 49.904129, "activity_lines": [ 136.737998, 136.110545, 134.524952, 133.064086 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 141.279999, "volume": 29726, "typical_volume": 126199.1, "trend": 132.09, "fair_value": 106.972967, "relative_strength": 2.587222, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.016714, "energy": 73.435559, "activity_lines": [ 138.263331, 137.148908, 135.378143, 133.684968 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }