{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c4f70851-f665-46cb-b93c-4fe2887719f7", "symbol": "603051", "name": "Guangzhou Lushan New Materials Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -55.432, "architecture_energy": 55.057, "architecture_maturity": 18.375, "architecture_confidence": 86.214, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.77, "rotation_up": 15.0, "upward_expansion": 13.48, "deceleration": 37.07, "rotation_down": 60.91, "downward_expansion": 82.14 }, "activity_lines": [ 19.486, 20.001091, 20.983095, 21.557118 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 20.66, "trend_reference": 22.449, "distance_from_trend": -0.079692, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 20.418108, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.011847, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -6.087, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.147338, "excess_performance": -0.104134, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.079692, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.011319, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.011847, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.156818, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.06087, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.111584, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.147338, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.875001, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 28638794, "relative_activity": 1.118697, "balance": 0.875001, "dry_up": 1.25659, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.117283, "annualized_volatility": 0.582035, "from_high_reference": -0.310644, "from_low_reference": 0.213866 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 22.449, "fair_value_reference": 20.418108, "structural_low": 17.02, 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[ 21.200667, 21.247455, 21.848095, 22.289054 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 17.33, "volume": 33836356, "typical_volume": 25250327.85, "trend": 22.536667, "fair_value": 20.559646, "relative_strength": -18.907536, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.856356, "energy": 41.265952, "activity_lines": [ 19.981333, 20.447818, 21.399667, 21.947656 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 18.290001, "volume": 27055581, "typical_volume": 25312010.95, "trend": 22.466667, "fair_value": 20.470603, "relative_strength": -14.620154, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.477873, "energy": 51.395483, "activity_lines": [ 19.325334, 19.953273, 21.068619, 21.673678 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 20.66, "volume": 28638794, "typical_volume": 25600132.55, "trend": 22.449, "fair_value": 20.418108, "relative_strength": -6.087, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.432326, "energy": 55.05713, "activity_lines": [ 19.486, 20.001091, 20.983095, 21.557118 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }