{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c4fb0cf9-b6c8-4582-9b25-7a4fc1f6dadb", "symbol": "KSB3", "name": "KSB SE & Co. KGaA", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -32.198, "architecture_energy": 23.497, "architecture_maturity": 53.409, "architecture_confidence": 69.886, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.1, "rotation_up": 28.96, "upward_expansion": 21.51, "deceleration": 41.07, "rotation_down": 30.98, "downward_expansion": 57.84 }, "activity_lines": [ 845.466667, 840.763636, 847.404187, 882.004095 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 894.0, "trend_reference": 928.896362, "distance_from_trend": -0.037568, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 702.999775, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.271693, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -9.442166, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.17306, "excess_performance": -0.2377, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.037568, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.034492, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.271693, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.042764, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.094422, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.006333, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.17306, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.608086, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 12059, "relative_activity": 1.391867, "balance": 2.608086, "dry_up": 1.052586, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.060231, "annualized_volatility": 0.526604, "from_high_reference": -0.271116, "from_low_reference": 0.159533 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 928.896362, "fair_value_reference": 702.999775, 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-54.860697, "energy": 40.965882, "activity_lines": [ 822.333333, 829.090909, 851.722451, 891.152948 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 833.0, "volume": 7117, "typical_volume": 8576.85, "trend": 932.870445, "fair_value": 700.521958, "relative_strength": -13.472544, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.875024, "energy": 41.810481, "activity_lines": [ 822.933333, 829.763636, 845.987058, 884.511866 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 894.0, "volume": 12059, "typical_volume": 8663.9, "trend": 928.896362, "fair_value": 702.999775, "relative_strength": -9.442166, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -32.198264, "energy": 23.496762, "activity_lines": [ 845.466667, 840.763636, 847.404187, 882.004095 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }