{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "c5128c33-dc22-409c-b0bc-28429c7ee155",
    "symbol": "LR",
    "name": "Legrand SA",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch",
    "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch",
    "confidence": 89.435,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -29.689,
    "architecture_energy": 46.742,
    "architecture_maturity": 4.421,
    "architecture_confidence": 62.91,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 41.13,
        "rotation_up": 17.91,
        "upward_expansion": 17.85,
        "deceleration": 44.25,
        "rotation_down": 61.01,
        "downward_expansion": 57.18
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        135.93333,
        138.339089,
        141.788803,
        141.839154
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 140.199997,
    "trend_reference": 140.942457,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.005268,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 108.433054,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.292964,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -4.521058,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.011559,
    "excess_performance": -0.041752,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.005268,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.034744,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.292964,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.192813,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.045211,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.214171,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.011559,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.340686,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2783680,
      "relative_activity": 1.27712,
      "balance": 0.340686,
      "dry_up": 1.466603,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 5
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.061333,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.357413,
      "from_high_reference": -0.146582,
      "from_low_reference": 0.168332
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 140.942457,
      "fair_value_reference": 108.433054,
      "structural_low": 125.658168,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.006293,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": 0.003396,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.122967,
        "worst_return": -0.023593,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.067741,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.024113,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.107615,
        "worst_return": 0.046918,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.176428,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.139299,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.224348,
        "worst_return": 0.107919,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.279817,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.194339,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.323081,
        "worst_return": 0.236553,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.047886,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-05-02",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.016485,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-09",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.036875,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-05-30",
        "end": "2025-11-14",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.218794,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-12-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.025621,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-12-19",
        "end": "2026-01-02",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.016302,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-01-09",
        "end": "2026-01-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.067194,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-02-06",
        "end": "2026-02-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.059638,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2026-02-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.000974,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.042893,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-04-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.183547,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-06-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.029609,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-07-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.063132,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "start": "2026-07-31",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.071047,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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      },
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        "date": "2023-08-25",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "relative_strength": 0.194119,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 107.175032,
        "relative_strength": 0.039955,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 3159496,
        "typical_volume": 2184301.85,
        "trend": 139.945741,
        "fair_value": 107.495117,
        "relative_strength": -3.78638,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -5.864823,
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        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 134.300003,
        "volume": 2486639,
        "typical_volume": 2110677.6,
        "trend": 140.246922,
        "fair_value": 107.804157,
        "relative_strength": -4.99124,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -24.958396,
        "energy": 36.110557,
        "activity_lines": [
          137.789999,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 130.899994,
        "volume": 4356940,
        "typical_volume": 2200125.8,
        "trend": 140.41837,
        "fair_value": 108.088253,
        "relative_strength": -8.745809,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -32.240732,
        "energy": 50.180519,
        "activity_lines": [
          134.843331,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 140.199997,
        "volume": 2783680,
        "typical_volume": 2179654.75,
        "trend": 140.942457,
        "fair_value": 108.433054,
        "relative_strength": -4.521058,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -29.688889,
        "energy": 46.742476,
        "activity_lines": [
          135.93333,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}