{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c516d6db-27ed-4b31-9140-d67f52b2ddb0", "symbol": "3227", "name": "PixArt Imaging Inc.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3c", "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch", "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch", "confidence": 72.523, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -6.126, "architecture_energy": 10.293, "architecture_maturity": 2.193, "architecture_confidence": 41.649, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 58.75, "rotation_up": 22.75, "upward_expansion": 21.33, "deceleration": 56.73, "rotation_down": 39.66, "downward_expansion": 32.66 }, "activity_lines": [ 197.866667, 200.729224, 204.439025, 201.707962 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 198.0, "trend_reference": 198.479077, "distance_from_trend": -0.002414, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 182.20749, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.086673, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -30.535466, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.108923, "excess_performance": -0.332449, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.002414, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.008834, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.086673, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.127907, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.305355, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.004607, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.108923, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.677884, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6036790, "relative_activity": 0.530056, "balance": 0.677884, "dry_up": 0.587269, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.115704, "annualized_volatility": 0.461663, "from_high_reference": -0.202429, "from_low_reference": 0.174893 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 198.479077, "fair_value_reference": 182.20749, "structural_low": 168.526022, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.010025, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.017624, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.095467, "worst_return": -0.144624, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.033253, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.082802, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.22519, "worst_return": -0.196881, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.035241, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.148874, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.734223, 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205.221785, 201.668723 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 192.0, "volume": 5806100, "typical_volume": 11074753.3, "trend": 198.205615, "fair_value": 180.950887, "relative_strength": -29.97924, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -13.719229, "energy": 18.050241, "activity_lines": [ 196.357939, 202.167328, 204.381818, 201.269561 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 205.5, "volume": 6891241, "typical_volume": 11226548.7, "trend": 198.499173, "fair_value": 181.590412, "relative_strength": -26.152783, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -6.791285, "energy": 15.189765, "activity_lines": [ 197.732866, 202.023531, 204.81354, 201.740167 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 198.0, "volume": 6036790, "typical_volume": 11388961.35, "trend": 198.479077, "fair_value": 182.20749, "relative_strength": -30.535466, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -6.126078, "energy": 10.29331, "activity_lines": [ 197.866667, 200.729224, 204.439025, 201.707962 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }