{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c52ab699-7d13-4ac4-930b-092d58438d7f", "symbol": "DXJ", "name": "WisdomTree Japan Equity UCITS ETF", "exchange": "EBS", "country": "CH", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SSMI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 72.551, "architecture_energy": 49.285, "architecture_maturity": 86.285, "architecture_confidence": 65.736, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.04, "rotation_up": 48.33, "upward_expansion": 76.42, "deceleration": 68.65, "rotation_down": 28.74, "downward_expansion": 12.09 }, "activity_lines": [ 54.584666, 54.509312, 53.749977, 52.910718 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 55.290001, "trend_reference": 51.823362, "distance_from_trend": 0.066893, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 36.42907, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.517744, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 5.444948, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.095719, "excess_performance": 0.012836, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.066893, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.074344, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.517744, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.008476, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.054449, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.104553, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.095719, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.031879, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1362, "relative_activity": 0.60752, "balance": 1.031879, "dry_up": 1.290535, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.021766, "annualized_volatility": 0.178168, "from_high_reference": -0.013207, "from_low_reference": 0.462869 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 51.823362, "fair_value_reference": 36.42907, "structural_low": 47.040001, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 50, "median_return": 0.019127, "positive_rate": 0.64, "directional_follow_through": 0.64, "median_excess_return": 0.020846, "regime_survival": 0.82, "best_return": 0.097031, "worst_return": -0.156909, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": 0.059265, "positive_rate": 0.823529, "directional_follow_through": 0.823529, "median_excess_return": 0.042097, "regime_survival": 0.647059, "best_return": 0.154378, "worst_return": -0.026805, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.153333, "positive_rate": 0.888889, "directional_follow_through": 0.888889, "median_excess_return": 0.122594, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.25432, "worst_return": -0.002392, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"activity_lines": [ 54.714425, 54.206001, 52.906279, 52.061806 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 53.099998, "volume": 4239, "typical_volume": 2532.85, "trend": 50.881861, "fair_value": 35.844028, "relative_strength": 3.823449, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.552215, "energy": 56.87745, "activity_lines": [ 54.230946, 54.108255, 53.014204, 52.224104 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 54.93, "volume": 4082, "typical_volume": 2669.95, "trend": 51.235435, "fair_value": 36.03945, "relative_strength": 7.095828, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.441936, "energy": 58.294068, "activity_lines": [ 54.37517, 54.307306, 53.298081, 52.485275 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 54.099998, "volume": 1890, "typical_volume": 2509.35, "trend": 51.560195, "fair_value": 36.231705, "relative_strength": 4.952387, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.785689, "energy": 43.364581, "activity_lines": [ 54.273332, 54.314739, 53.479172, 52.670085 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 55.290001, "volume": 1362, "typical_volume": 2241.9, "trend": 51.823362, "fair_value": 36.42907, "relative_strength": 5.444948, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.5507, "energy": 49.285392, "activity_lines": [ 54.584666, 54.509312, 53.749977, 52.910718 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }