{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c52f4f7e-9689-4b11-88e7-040e6f2e6749", "symbol": "BANL", "name": "CBL International Limited Ordinary Shares", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -71.813, "architecture_energy": 59.135, "architecture_maturity": 32.0, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.61, "rotation_up": 18.33, "upward_expansion": 11.34, "deceleration": 40.46, "rotation_down": 60.05, "downward_expansion": 84.67 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.44292, 4.684484, 5.073474, 5.536635 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 3.75, "trend_reference": 5.74621, "distance_from_trend": -0.347396, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 11.49509, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.673774, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -49.980288, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.04955, "excess_performance": -0.237004, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.347396, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.045376, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.673774, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.148208, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.499803, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.178535, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.04955, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.483014, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1495988, "relative_activity": 0.549809, "balance": 0.483014, "dry_up": 0.415416, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.297756, "annualized_volatility": 1.181122, "from_high_reference": -0.704959, "from_low_reference": 0.083627 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.74621, "fair_value_reference": 11.49509, "structural_low": 3.4606, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.024664, "positive_rate": 0.384615, "directional_follow_through": 0.615385, "median_excess_return": -0.030724, "regime_survival": 0.846154, "best_return": 0.949059, "worst_return": -0.408028, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.093528, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.135626, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.552471, "worst_return": -0.373496, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.054425, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.272185, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.531273, "worst_return": -0.514704, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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-71.812912, "energy": 59.134911, "activity_lines": [ 4.44292, 4.684484, 5.073474, 5.536635 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }