{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c52f8e8d-adf2-4146-9743-cb6c3afbd5e9", "symbol": "301035", "name": "Shandong Weifang Rainbow Chemical Co., Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -28.215, "architecture_energy": 25.422, "architecture_maturity": 70.147, "architecture_confidence": 74.833, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.14, "rotation_up": 38.07, "upward_expansion": 20.9, "deceleration": 44.09, "rotation_down": 24.38, "downward_expansion": 57.24 }, "activity_lines": [ 52.908668, 50.98091, 52.208217, 53.912988 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 53.540001, "trend_reference": 55.732418, "distance_from_trend": -0.039338, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 46.382105, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.154325, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -7.014132, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.142004, "excess_performance": -0.149404, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.039338, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.020341, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.154325, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.118564, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.070141, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.019602, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.142004, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.703082, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8534369, "relative_activity": 1.175314, "balance": 0.703082, "dry_up": 1.290909, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.083651, "annualized_volatility": 0.389773, "from_high_reference": -0.190754, "from_low_reference": 0.199104 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 55.732418, "fair_value_reference": 46.382105, "structural_low": 44.650002, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.015504, "positive_rate": 0.533333, "directional_follow_through": 0.466667, "median_excess_return": 0.001261, "regime_survival": 0.733333, "best_return": 0.388184, "worst_return": -0.200578, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.049626, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.031041, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.318746, "worst_return": -0.307699, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.087031, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.173315, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.025293, "worst_return": -0.200285, 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46.449248, "relative_strength": -6.87388, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.551367, "energy": 42.395048, "activity_lines": [ 48.955334, 49.129187, 52.06196, 53.980908 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 56.580002, "volume": 10536078, "typical_volume": 7257869.8, "trend": 55.652131, "fair_value": 46.431069, "relative_strength": 3.275165, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -23.81944, "energy": 16.599512, "activity_lines": [ 51.804001, 50.361329, 52.267315, 54.049254 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 53.540001, "volume": 8534369, "typical_volume": 7261349.35, "trend": 55.732418, "fair_value": 46.382105, "relative_strength": -7.014132, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -28.214508, "energy": 25.421626, "activity_lines": [ 52.908668, 50.98091, 52.208217, 53.912988 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }