{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c5581631-09a7-46a1-b63b-16cfc8b770ec", "symbol": "SIS", "name": "SiS Distribution (Thailand) Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 68.862, "architecture_energy": 85.723, "architecture_maturity": 22.675, "architecture_confidence": 80.191, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.47, "rotation_up": 83.22, "upward_expansion": 98.85, "deceleration": 39.01, "rotation_down": 8.15, "downward_expansion": 20.85 }, "activity_lines": [ 26.233333, 24.856364, 23.695238, 23.108395 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 26.25, "trend_reference": 22.181179, "distance_from_trend": 0.183436, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 21.430551, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.224887, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 9.430061, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.361949, "excess_performance": 0.169624, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.183436, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.082538, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.224887, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.078504, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.094301, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.06936, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.361949, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.188324, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2352500, "relative_activity": 0.930745, "balance": 1.188324, "dry_up": 1.259513, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.059634, "annualized_volatility": 0.290935, "from_high_reference": -0.045455, "from_low_reference": 0.518239 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 22.181179, "fair_value_reference": 21.430551, "structural_low": 19.084888, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.017722, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.020904, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.189543, "worst_return": -0.192308, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.009091, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.061029, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.272451, "worst_return": -0.151459, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.036364, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.008538, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.320467, "worst_return": -0.390745, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"activity_lines": [ 22.68, 22.26, 22.251865, 21.904517 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 25.75, "volume": 4950900, "typical_volume": 2874640.0, "trend": 21.470047, "fair_value": 21.191683, "relative_strength": 5.363599, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.070281, "energy": 77.315428, "activity_lines": [ 23.87, 22.896364, 22.594286, 22.195992 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 25.75, "volume": 3272400, "typical_volume": 2720290.0, "trend": 21.685919, "fair_value": 21.265558, "relative_strength": 5.245927, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.89937, "energy": 84.908924, "activity_lines": [ 24.763333, 23.497273, 22.920714, 22.472118 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 27.25, "volume": 2158100, "typical_volume": 2703675.0, "trend": 21.95179, "fair_value": 21.348497, "relative_strength": 12.711027, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 85.148596, "energy": 92.006236, "activity_lines": [ 25.88, 24.320909, 23.369762, 22.831091 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 26.25, "volume": 2352500, "typical_volume": 2527545.0, "trend": 22.181179, "fair_value": 21.430551, "relative_strength": 9.430061, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.86219, "energy": 85.723398, "activity_lines": [ 26.233333, 24.856364, 23.695238, 23.108395 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }