{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "c5631346-e288-43a2-8db3-2d39d66ec4c8",
    "symbol": "ADPA",
    "name": "Aeroports de Paris SA",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 66.499,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 60.698,
    "architecture_energy": 34.728,
    "architecture_maturity": 12.351,
    "architecture_confidence": 63.531,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 36.91,
        "rotation_up": 50.61,
        "upward_expansion": 74.74,
        "deceleration": 60.62,
        "rotation_down": 23.1,
        "downward_expansion": 8.4
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        113.806666,
        112.716364,
        110.313381,
        109.620981
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 116.699997,
    "trend_reference": 109.573153,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.065042,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 111.036028,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.05101,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -16.268362,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.005168,
    "excess_performance": -0.169079,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.065042,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.023149,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.05101,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.127505,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.162684,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.062152,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.005168,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 5.0,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 5.0,
      "dry_up": 0.0,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.052378,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.338781,
      "from_high_reference": -0.124531,
      "from_low_reference": 0.198625
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 109.573153,
      "fair_value_reference": 111.036028,
      "structural_low": 97.36158,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": -0.045067,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.010404,
        "regime_survival": 0.222222,
        "best_return": 0.060117,
        "worst_return": -0.130362,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.015251,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.049902,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.124406,
        "worst_return": -0.11291,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.029326,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.047465,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.300095,
        "worst_return": -0.051959,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.078526,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.129593,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.416904,
        "worst_return": -0.105016,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-02-07",
        "end": "2025-02-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.080389,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-02-28",
        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.145759,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-06-27",
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        "return": -0.071408,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.057116,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-09-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.09688,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-09-26",
        "end": "2025-10-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.086442,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-01-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.080033,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-01-09",
        "end": "2026-01-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.057858,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-01-23",
        "end": "2026-02-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.074861,
        "active": false
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        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "return": -0.129521,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-03-20",
        "end": "2026-06-12",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.025145,
        "active": false
      },
      {
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      {
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        "active": true
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        "typical_volume": 57.35,
        "trend": 113.926595,
        "fair_value": 112.499754,
        "relative_strength": -25.162232,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -70.112105,
        "energy": 38.383491,
        "activity_lines": [
          105.236791,
          105.726201,
          108.489616,
          110.956124
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 103.736443,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 57.35,
        "trend": 113.531143,
        "fair_value": 112.329076,
        "relative_strength": -22.483517,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -56.25819,
        "energy": 39.626681,
        "activity_lines": [
          104.322416,
          105.154684,
          107.889288,
          110.298695
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 101.611488,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 57.35,
        "trend": 112.938192,
        "fair_value": 112.128169,
        "relative_strength": -23.229596,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -61.922513,
        "energy": 58.420128,
        "activity_lines": [
          102.764116,
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          107.126885,
          109.529685
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 105.475044,
        "volume": 97,
        "typical_volume": 62.2,
        "trend": 112.414027,
        "fair_value": 111.947878,
        "relative_strength": -21.436743,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -56.8656,
        "energy": 46.767998,
        "activity_lines": [
          103.266378,
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          106.778576,
          109.048192
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 111.173782,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 62.2,
        "trend": 112.16982,
        "fair_value": 111.825468,
        "relative_strength": -18.876068,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -30.179661,
        "energy": 17.998255,
        "activity_lines": [
          105.957986,
          105.716544,
          107.001695,
          108.968176
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 107.400002,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 62.2,
        "trend": 111.833153,
        "fair_value": 111.675046,
        "relative_strength": -20.258752,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -32.797689,
        "energy": 16.421486,
        "activity_lines": [
          107.005313,
          106.011188,
          106.887435,
          108.660446
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 106.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 62.2,
        "trend": 111.326487,
        "fair_value": 111.515043,
        "relative_strength": -22.963774,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -28.758044,
        "energy": 18.824471,
        "activity_lines": [
          107.045529,
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          106.647937,
          108.284113
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 110.400002,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 62.2,
        "trend": 110.96982,
        "fair_value": 111.39113,
        "relative_strength": -22.577449,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -13.869066,
        "energy": 15.258751,
        "activity_lines": [
          108.401508,
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          106.837963,
          108.22434
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 115.300003,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 62.2,
        "trend": 110.59982,
        "fair_value": 111.319858,
        "relative_strength": -17.181759,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 29.553896,
        "energy": 27.46669,
        "activity_lines": [
          110.804921,
          108.407971,
          107.505132,
          108.503707
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 115.599998,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 57.85,
        "trend": 110.35982,
        "fair_value": 111.279623,
        "relative_strength": -18.499453,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 31.94995,
        "energy": 44.784868,
        "activity_lines": [
          112.653334,
          110.048542,
          108.204681,
          108.826299
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 110.900002,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 27.35,
        "trend": 109.613153,
        "fair_value": 111.195916,
        "relative_strength": -20.364362,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 19.396964,
        "energy": 40.6075,
        "activity_lines": [
          112.640001,
          110.648722,
          108.459945,
          108.861149
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 106.5,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 27.35,
        "trend": 109.423153,
        "fair_value": 111.092496,
        "relative_strength": -21.550651,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 6.014561,
        "energy": 23.405132,
        "activity_lines": [
          110.926667,
          110.237872,
          108.334256,
          108.660301
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 105.900002,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 22.85,
        "trend": 109.243153,
        "fair_value": 111.017378,
        "relative_strength": -22.53394,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -14.237227,
        "energy": 7.43271,
        "activity_lines": [
          108.980001,
          109.667685,
          108.210473,
          108.433001
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 120.5,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 22.85,
        "trend": 109.543153,
        "fair_value": 111.038883,
        "relative_strength": -11.451838,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 42.969797,
        "energy": 22.838629,
        "activity_lines": [
          112.200001,
          111.67407,
          109.483356,
          109.159249
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 116.699997,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 4.85,
        "trend": 109.573153,
        "fair_value": 111.036028,
        "relative_strength": -16.268362,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.697874,
        "energy": 34.728285,
        "activity_lines": [
          113.806666,
          112.716364,
          110.313381,
          109.620981
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}