{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c587ef95-a23c-4fc5-88db-3f995d98df84", "symbol": "002162", "name": "Everjoy Health Group Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -36.093, "architecture_energy": 26.095, "architecture_maturity": 85.133, "architecture_confidence": 71.31, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.89, "rotation_up": 29.29, "upward_expansion": 22.04, "deceleration": 47.0, "rotation_down": 20.76, "downward_expansion": 56.04 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.861333, 3.757455, 3.871476, 4.113828 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 4.0, "trend_reference": 4.452667, "distance_from_trend": -0.101662, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.066538, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.016362, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -14.501005, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.204771, "excess_performance": -0.212171, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.101662, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.072297, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.016362, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.106095, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.14501, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.072778, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.204771, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.928866, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 69900069, "relative_activity": 1.051379, "balance": 0.928866, "dry_up": 1.676481, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.069038, "annualized_volatility": 0.383688, "from_high_reference": -0.379845, "from_low_reference": 0.19403 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.452667, "fair_value_reference": 4.066538, "structural_low": 3.35, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": -0.006696, "positive_rate": 0.478261, "directional_follow_through": 0.521739, "median_excess_return": -0.016947, "regime_survival": 0.826087, "best_return": 0.266187, "worst_return": -0.187328, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.006809, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.042306, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.521645, "worst_return": -0.138381, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.108642, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.190192, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.476891, "worst_return": -0.250653, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-01-24", "end": "2025-03-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.302395, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-03-14", "end": "2025-04-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.246063, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.053613, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.086283, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2025-10-24", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.061905, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-10-31", "end": "2025-11-14", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.090293, 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"typical_volume": 96089090.55, "trend": 4.545, "fair_value": 4.076731, "relative_strength": -16.114427, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.003204, "energy": 61.544781, "activity_lines": [ 3.659333, 3.681273, 3.958667, 4.239419 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.67, "volume": 88717396, "typical_volume": 79522524.6, "trend": 4.507, "fair_value": 4.072692, "relative_strength": -19.640926, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.613658, "energy": 48.966769, "activity_lines": [ 3.680667, 3.664545, 3.902857, 4.182968 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.91, "volume": 106781671, "typical_volume": 68631550.0, "trend": 4.474667, "fair_value": 4.070064, "relative_strength": -12.577667, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.962612, "energy": 37.240707, "activity_lines": [ 3.773333, 3.701273, 3.880333, 4.144452 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.0, "volume": 69900069, "typical_volume": 66484157.65, "trend": 4.452667, "fair_value": 4.066538, "relative_strength": -14.501005, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.09297, "energy": 26.094534, "activity_lines": [ 3.861333, 3.757455, 3.871476, 4.113828 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }