{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c58da14b-6d88-4ee0-806e-883898c40260", "symbol": "ACAN", "name": "Acanthe D\u00e9veloppement", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -60.032, "architecture_energy": 48.226, "architecture_maturity": 34.362, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.22, "rotation_up": 18.34, "upward_expansion": 8.48, "deceleration": 43.29, "rotation_down": 58.84, "downward_expansion": 84.15 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.215933, 0.217491, 0.219924, 0.223234 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.215, "trend_reference": 0.2274, "distance_from_trend": -0.054529, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.296946, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.275964, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -16.43285, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.092827, "excess_performance": -0.146138, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.054529, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.016861, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.275964, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.048078, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.164329, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.005542, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.092827, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.118787, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 46570, "relative_activity": 1.311159, "balance": 0.118787, "dry_up": 1.06323, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.039714, "annualized_volatility": 0.163387, "from_high_reference": -0.328125, "from_low_reference": 0.059113 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.2274, "fair_value_reference": 0.296946, "structural_low": 0.207, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": -0.001216, "positive_rate": 0.392857, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.019711, "regime_survival": 0.785714, "best_return": 0.340782, "worst_return": -0.145907, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.031832, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.078071, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.398461, "worst_return": -0.266667, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.003714, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.103203, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.545067, "worst_return": -0.247619, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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0.227667, "fair_value": 0.296917, "relative_strength": -13.836725, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.742849, "energy": 32.590911, "activity_lines": [ 0.219667, 0.220127, 0.222852, 0.22574 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.21, "volume": 50520, "typical_volume": 39804.25, "trend": 0.2276, "fair_value": 0.296887, "relative_strength": -16.820521, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.54976, "energy": 52.659893, "activity_lines": [ 0.2164, 0.218273, 0.22131, 0.2246 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.219, "volume": 22530, "typical_volume": 36518.8, "trend": 0.227567, "fair_value": 0.296929, "relative_strength": -13.738832, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.446877, "energy": 42.584619, "activity_lines": [ 0.2168, 0.218236, 0.220762, 0.224045 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.215, "volume": 46570, "typical_volume": 35518.2, "trend": 0.2274, "fair_value": 0.296946, "relative_strength": -16.43285, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.03206, "energy": 48.226052, "activity_lines": [ 0.215933, 0.217491, 0.219924, 0.223234 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }