{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c5a18b14-69e5-460e-9e1a-02928e803f3e", "symbol": "KOSKI", "name": "Koskisen Oyj", "exchange": "HEL", "country": "FI", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-09-18", "benchmark": "^OMXH25", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 95.648, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -71.977, "architecture_energy": 46.647, "architecture_maturity": 22.778, "architecture_confidence": 82.362, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.63, "rotation_up": 16.3, "upward_expansion": 5.57, "deceleration": 48.11, "rotation_down": 61.23, "downward_expansion": 78.9 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.486667, 8.552, 8.652857, 8.741347 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 8.3, "trend_reference": 8.827215, "distance_from_trend": -0.059726, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7.5688, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.096607, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -14.947863, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.038751, "excess_performance": -0.162327, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.059726, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.012982, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price 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"down", "direction": -58.235067, "energy": 61.80165, "activity_lines": [ 8.641333, 8.725455, 8.823956, 8.863935 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 8.62, "volume": 1148, "typical_volume": 4510.85, "trend": 8.892913, "fair_value": 7.4838, "relative_strength": -11.315017, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.742135, "energy": 61.565691, "activity_lines": [ 8.630667, 8.697455, 8.795732, 8.84511 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-21", "close": 8.62, "volume": 2731, "typical_volume": 4056.65, "trend": 8.868113, "fair_value": 7.500821, "relative_strength": -11.62326, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.274251, "energy": 45.497352, "activity_lines": [ 8.630667, 8.672, 8.76786, 8.827502 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-28", "close": 8.66, "volume": 13434, "typical_volume": 4401.0, "trend": 8.859103, "fair_value": 7.516904, "relative_strength": -12.175376, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.784395, "energy": 33.333096, "activity_lines": [ 8.646667, 8.657818, 8.746965, 8.814076 ] }, { "date": "2026-09-04", "close": 8.7, "volume": 11465, "typical_volume": 4361.8, "trend": 8.86194, "fair_value": 7.535513, "relative_strength": -10.483812, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.83987, "energy": 25.297036, "activity_lines": [ 8.661333, 8.654909, 8.732762, 8.803811 ] }, { "date": "2026-09-11", "close": 8.44, "volume": 11862, "typical_volume": 4524.45, "trend": 8.846253, "fair_value": 7.552874, "relative_strength": -13.806914, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.49936, "energy": 37.695098, "activity_lines": [ 8.589333, 8.612, 8.697429, 8.776589 ] }, { "date": "2026-09-18", "close": 8.3, "volume": 7114, "typical_volume": 4551.3, "trend": 8.827215, "fair_value": 7.5688, "relative_strength": -14.947863, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.976801, "energy": 46.646646, "activity_lines": [ 8.486667, 8.552, 8.652857, 8.741347 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }