{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c5cd1593-6e95-4857-96a3-bb1c1794b8da", "symbol": "TRANSWORLD", "name": "Transworld Shipping Lines Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 32.782, "architecture_energy": 16.001, "architecture_maturity": 16.048, "architecture_confidence": 75.758, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 55.34, "rotation_up": 26.97, "upward_expansion": 53.04, "deceleration": 82.49, "rotation_down": 30.24, "downward_expansion": 21.37 }, "activity_lines": [ 161.776669, 163.059456, 162.55962, 158.986043 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 166.0, "trend_reference": 157.040666, "distance_from_trend": 0.057051, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 273.426857, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.392891, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -10.86318, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.038517, "excess_performance": 0.005192, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.057051, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.080133, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.392891, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.023413, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.108632, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.091278, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.038517, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.23336, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 69977, "relative_activity": 0.734959, "balance": 1.23336, "dry_up": 0.374771, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.078378, "annualized_volatility": 0.509653, "from_high_reference": -0.422769, "from_low_reference": 0.487989 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 157.040666, "fair_value_reference": 273.426857, "structural_low": 111.559998, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.014693, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": 0.007518, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.157966, "worst_return": -0.081702, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.019201, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.017432, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.311177, "worst_return": -0.159495, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.064929, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.150539, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.269002, "worst_return": 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"activity_lines": [ 162.164668, 163.63691, 160.69919, 158.265527 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 158.860001, "volume": 33326, "typical_volume": 130405.1, "trend": 158.545999, "fair_value": 275.679868, "relative_strength": -13.510871, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -0.591819, "energy": 9.180965, "activity_lines": [ 159.820668, 162.910546, 161.121953, 158.189312 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 162.210007, "volume": 18474, "typical_volume": 113267.95, "trend": 157.314666, "fair_value": 274.455054, "relative_strength": -13.078763, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 24.126361, "energy": 18.039389, "activity_lines": [ 159.866003, 162.641457, 161.737477, 158.425699 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 166.0, "volume": 69977, "typical_volume": 95212.05, "trend": 157.040666, "fair_value": 273.426857, "relative_strength": -10.86318, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 32.782221, "energy": 16.001411, "activity_lines": [ 161.776669, 163.059456, 162.55962, 158.986043 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }