{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "c5da4730-3c6c-4aa8-b7a6-f5e34ea490e8",
    "symbol": "RCO",
    "name": "R\u00e9my Cointreau SA",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch",
    "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 65.938,
    "architecture_energy": 73.689,
    "architecture_maturity": 25.615,
    "architecture_confidence": 74.636,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 11.17,
        "rotation_up": 71.72,
        "upward_expansion": 90.01,
        "deceleration": 45.28,
        "rotation_down": 10.65,
        "downward_expansion": 16.68
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        42.450303
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 46.599998,
    "trend_reference": 41.600189,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.120187,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 63.709508,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.268555,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 1.702374,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.07028,
    "excess_performance": 0.016969,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.120187,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.045003,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.268555,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.149259,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.017024,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.093221,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.07028,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.646722,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 335865,
      "relative_activity": 1.234663,
      "balance": 0.646722,
      "dry_up": 1.091014,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.05765,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.320373,
      "from_high_reference": -0.184602,
      "from_low_reference": 0.360981
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 63.709508,
      "structural_low": 34.240002,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": -0.038945,
        "positive_rate": 0.3,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.3,
        "median_excess_return": -0.04854,
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        "worst_return": -0.15348,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "trend": 39.794,
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        "relative_strength": -7.251549,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 66.111074,
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        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "direction": 54.975499,
        "energy": 41.442597,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 45.169346,
        "volume": 266638,
        "typical_volume": 289172.55,
        "trend": 40.709616,
        "fair_value": 65.54627,
        "relative_strength": 1.124013,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.228898,
        "energy": 42.654299,
        "activity_lines": [
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          41.890524,
          41.370183
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 44.697193,
        "volume": 219833,
        "typical_volume": 278321.6,
        "trend": 40.988856,
        "fair_value": 64.903761,
        "relative_strength": 0.543393,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.428414,
        "energy": 42.552551,
        "activity_lines": [
          43.965355,
          43.516886,
          42.283645,
          41.627446
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 48.540001,
        "volume": 364817,
        "typical_volume": 272564.95,
        "trend": 41.396856,
        "fair_value": 64.316409,
        "relative_strength": 7.865409,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.404704,
        "energy": 74.16139,
        "activity_lines": [
          45.64631,
          44.545146,
          43.011904,
          42.114616
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 46.599998,
        "volume": 335865,
        "typical_volume": 272029.8,
        "trend": 41.600189,
        "fair_value": 63.709508,
        "relative_strength": 1.702374,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.937636,
        "energy": 73.689305,
        "activity_lines": [
          46.291945,
          45.076316,
          43.499305,
          42.450303
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}