{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c5e170a4-674a-4a49-bdfd-2c02ee60bd6c", "symbol": "H1SB34", "name": "HSBC Holdings plc", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 74.71, "architecture_energy": 84.487, "architecture_maturity": 44.72, "architecture_confidence": 85.443, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.52, "rotation_up": 81.61, "upward_expansion": 97.64, "deceleration": 40.68, "rotation_down": 10.78, "downward_expansion": 19.64 }, "activity_lines": [ 132.711331, 129.31109, 123.587516, 119.700282 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 134.0, "trend_reference": 115.617299, "distance_from_trend": 0.158996, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 73.302575, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.828039, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 22.864365, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.199986, "excess_performance": 0.257034, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.158996, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.089069, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.828039, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.176414, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.228644, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.24211, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.199986, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.225672, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2481, "relative_activity": 1.005716, "balance": 4.225672, "dry_up": 0.828874, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.040177, "annualized_volatility": 0.224475, "from_high_reference": -0.03025, "from_low_reference": 0.667444 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 115.617299, "fair_value_reference": 73.302575, "structural_low": 99.723132, 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"typical_volume": 2916.0, "trend": 113.613025, "fair_value": 72.090241, "relative_strength": 20.594672, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.226452, "energy": 89.722151, "activity_lines": [ 128.541999, 125.249636, 120.125249, 117.047132 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 135.369995, "volume": 2791, "typical_volume": 2646.25, "trend": 114.633149, "fair_value": 72.701051, "relative_strength": 20.906889, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.859093, "energy": 90.164242, "activity_lines": [ 131.315997, 127.592181, 121.996477, 118.450808 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 134.0, "volume": 2481, "typical_volume": 2466.9, "trend": 115.617299, "fair_value": 73.302575, "relative_strength": 22.864365, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.709578, "energy": 84.487495, "activity_lines": [ 132.711331, 129.31109, 123.587516, 119.700282 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }