{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c5e755d3-163d-4ec1-a486-53a17774226f", "symbol": "RETO", "name": "ReTo Eco-Solutions Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 87.574, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -7.473, "architecture_energy": 7.77, "architecture_maturity": 14.979, "architecture_confidence": 69.208, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 62.29, "rotation_up": 30.54, "upward_expansion": 31.49, "deceleration": 37.94, "rotation_down": 18.95, "downward_expansion": 39.83 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.857967, 2.7934, 2.71635, 2.803126 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 2.96, "trend_reference": 3.04652, "distance_from_trend": -0.0284, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 76.830887, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.961474, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -75.540182, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.152833, "excess_performance": -0.340287, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.0284, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.451659, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.961474, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.010161, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.755402, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.161853, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.152833, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.906603, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 11469, "relative_activity": 0.004971, "balance": 1.906603, "dry_up": 0.011937, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.196739, "annualized_volatility": 1.555543, "from_high_reference": -0.934513, "from_low_reference": 0.644444 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.04652, "fair_value_reference": 76.830887, "structural_low": 1.8, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.053568, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.056987, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.053568, "worst_return": 0.053568, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-02-20", "end": "2026-07-03", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.117039, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-07-10", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.053568, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2024-08-16", "close": 201.0, "volume": 57448, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-08-23", "close": 320.0, "volume": 3527735, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, 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3.033628 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 2.8095, "volume": 56417, "typical_volume": 3868614.25, "trend": 3.73052, "fair_value": 79.789722, "relative_strength": -83.012306, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -30.668204, "energy": 15.450756, "activity_lines": [ 2.7045, 2.602353, 2.686666, 2.956851 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 2.96, "volume": 64552, "typical_volume": 2444120.8, "trend": 3.54652, "fair_value": 79.029032, "relative_strength": -79.880068, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -25.584151, "energy": 11.297177, "activity_lines": [ 2.794533, 2.680324, 2.699816, 2.90714 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.74, "volume": 19461, "typical_volume": 2389312.2, "trend": 3.353853, "fair_value": 78.2811, "relative_strength": -79.496704, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -16.658412, "energy": 9.763803, "activity_lines": [ 2.795233, 2.709567, 2.695062, 2.855107 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.78, "volume": 14675, "typical_volume": 2371313.2, "trend": 3.191853, "fair_value": 77.54808, "relative_strength": -77.679084, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -15.310531, "energy": 9.255658, "activity_lines": [ 2.8026, 2.737211, 2.698281, 2.818084 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.96, "volume": 11469, "typical_volume": 2306970.0, "trend": 3.04652, "fair_value": 76.830887, "relative_strength": -75.540182, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -7.472867, "energy": 7.770299, "activity_lines": [ 2.857967, 2.7934, 2.71635, 2.803126 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }