{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c5e899e2-3658-4915-a4c6-f0668f9de40f", "symbol": "300788", "name": "Citic Press Corporation", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -47.153, "architecture_energy": 37.96, "architecture_maturity": 56.614, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 22.0, "rotation_up": 27.25, "upward_expansion": 18.47, "deceleration": 43.4, "rotation_down": 38.61, "downward_expansion": 68.47 }, "activity_lines": [ 24.869829, 24.41171, 26.310874, 28.166802 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 25.719999, "trend_reference": 30.011098, "distance_from_trend": -0.142984, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 29.179372, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.118555, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -16.873872, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.142952, "excess_performance": -0.150352, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.142984, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.043808, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.118555, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.249506, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.168739, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.050146, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.142952, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.268962, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 31296427, "relative_activity": 1.605215, "balance": 0.268962, "dry_up": 1.101781, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.099929, "annualized_volatility": 0.737471, "from_high_reference": -0.461587, "from_low_reference": 0.16888 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 30.011098, "fair_value_reference": 29.179372, 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"direction": -65.019397, "energy": 66.527997, "activity_lines": [ 23.614245, 24.503722, 27.500841, 29.180123 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 22.430746, "volume": 13408707, "typical_volume": 20482302.75, "trend": 30.093432, "fair_value": 29.233125, "relative_strength": -26.04431, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.897726, "energy": 72.971862, "activity_lines": [ 23.190347, 23.901454, 26.796045, 28.674578 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 26.57, "volume": 26072922, "typical_volume": 19736967.85, "trend": 30.067098, "fair_value": 29.201396, "relative_strength": -10.414589, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.665384, "energy": 45.527756, "activity_lines": [ 24.298151, 24.207582, 26.571412, 28.44726 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 25.719999, "volume": 31296427, "typical_volume": 19496723.8, "trend": 30.011098, "fair_value": 29.179372, "relative_strength": -16.873872, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.15313, "energy": 37.959923, "activity_lines": [ 24.869829, 24.41171, 26.310874, 28.166802 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }