{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "c5f14adc-891f-47ed-986d-db381cf2a08b",
    "symbol": "SPX",
    "name": "Amundi Core S&P 500 Swap UCITS ETF EUR Dist",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 89.139,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 83.257,
    "architecture_energy": 66.07,
    "architecture_maturity": 88.135,
    "architecture_confidence": 62.44,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 15.02,
        "rotation_up": 53.05,
        "upward_expansion": 82.6,
        "deceleration": 71.33,
        "rotation_down": 29.01,
        "downward_expansion": 11.6
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 69.209999,
    "trend_reference": 63.290999,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.09352,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 53.715141,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.288464,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -3.094402,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.156777,
    "excess_performance": -0.014114,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.09352,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.041427,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.288464,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.033982,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.030944,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.008184,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.156777,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.243893,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
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      "relative_activity": 1.217927,
      "balance": 1.243893,
      "dry_up": 2.972074,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.018639,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.118387,
      "from_high_reference": -0.005032,
      "from_low_reference": 0.246188
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 53.715141,
      "structural_low": 56.970001,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 40,
        "median_return": 0.012583,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
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        "worst_return": -0.103119,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": -0.17037,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 53.026824,
        "relative_strength": -3.086871,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 378884,
        "typical_volume": 63943.95,
        "trend": 62.551332,
        "fair_value": 53.197604,
        "relative_strength": -2.719762,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.573922,
        "energy": 67.675369,
        "activity_lines": [
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          65.556808,
          64.124923
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 67.389999,
        "volume": 343819,
        "typical_volume": 78817.35,
        "trend": 62.797332,
        "fair_value": 53.364676,
        "relative_strength": -2.369468,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.303051,
        "energy": 64.263449,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 66.620003,
        "volume": 72988,
        "typical_volume": 75016.05,
        "trend": 63.026333,
        "fair_value": 53.530537,
        "relative_strength": -4.030912,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.671868,
        "energy": 58.286527,
        "activity_lines": [
          67.221333,
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          66.141951,
          64.683719
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 69.209999,
        "volume": 90821,
        "typical_volume": 74570.15,
        "trend": 63.290999,
        "fair_value": 53.715141,
        "relative_strength": -3.094402,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.257454,
        "energy": 66.07009,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}