{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c5fb876a-39d1-49d4-ba32-148b6d0568ca", "symbol": "605055", "name": "Zhejiang Yingfeng Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 52.797, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -37.022, "architecture_energy": 61.782, "architecture_maturity": 15.333, "architecture_confidence": 65.923, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.13, "rotation_up": 16.6, "upward_expansion": 21.65, "deceleration": 43.4, "rotation_down": 71.36, "downward_expansion": 63.31 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.762, 9.464727, 10.550269, 10.582754 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 9.25, "trend_reference": 10.471613, "distance_from_trend": -0.116659, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 7.049906, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.312074, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -5.506341, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.026637, "excess_performance": 0.069841, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.116659, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.024057, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.312074, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.736109, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.055063, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.435607, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.026637, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.01192, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 24428600, "relative_activity": 0.639227, "balance": 1.01192, "dry_up": 0.699312, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.166421, "annualized_volatility": 0.616357, "from_high_reference": -0.395432, "from_low_reference": 0.323319 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.471613, "fair_value_reference": 7.049906, "structural_low": 7.6, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.006203, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.061367, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.015707, "worst_return": -0.028112, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.050527, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.006976, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.089005, "worst_return": 0.012048, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.07679, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.095543, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.303665, "worst_return": -0.150085, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.136126, 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"2025-01-24", "end": "2025-03-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.111111, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-03-28", "end": "2025-04-11", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.066421, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.189138, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-06-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.205285, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-06-27", "end": "2025-08-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.077886, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-29", "end": "2025-11-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.197071, "active": false }, { "regime": 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10.0, "volume": 40828583, "typical_volume": 37033544.35, "trend": 10.615613, "fair_value": 6.980015, "relative_strength": 1.517296, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -4.354023, "energy": 17.407114, "activity_lines": [ 10.688, 11.395765, 11.440286, 11.076546 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 9.04, "volume": 27489700, "typical_volume": 37412244.35, "trend": 10.59028, "fair_value": 7.000538, "relative_strength": -2.837563, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -34.490402, "energy": 34.303785, "activity_lines": [ 10.070667, 10.856714, 11.245008, 10.974894 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 8.02, "volume": 32945010, "typical_volume": 37953299.85, "trend": 10.530946, "fair_value": 7.014397, "relative_strength": -15.012324, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -42.022361, "energy": 57.003558, "activity_lines": [ 9.261333, 10.214557, 10.958778, 10.809069 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.26, "volume": 22035800, "typical_volume": 37872349.85, "trend": 10.486946, "fair_value": 7.029795, "relative_strength": -13.006903, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -36.62774, "energy": 61.843577, "activity_lines": [ 8.765333, 9.703005, 10.704547, 10.662557 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.25, "volume": 24428600, "typical_volume": 38215824.85, "trend": 10.471613, "fair_value": 7.049906, "relative_strength": -5.506341, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -37.022124, "energy": 61.781886, "activity_lines": [ 8.762, 9.464727, 10.550269, 10.582754 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }