{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c600177a-6b19-4f30-aacd-b17f5695c551", "symbol": "002243", "name": "Shenzhen Leaguer Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -50.466, "architecture_energy": 42.497, "architecture_maturity": 87.829, "architecture_confidence": 59.729, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.11, "rotation_up": 26.13, "upward_expansion": 18.17, "deceleration": 66.98, "rotation_down": 46.3, "downward_expansion": 70.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.946, 6.892545, 7.476037, 8.003813 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 7.29, "trend_reference": 8.809489, "distance_from_trend": -0.172483, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7.905313, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.077835, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -21.66898, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.325402, "excess_performance": -0.332802, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.172483, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.081835, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.077835, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.167845, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.21669, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.003402, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.325402, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.478264, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 98484665, "relative_activity": 1.406469, "balance": 2.478264, "dry_up": 1.471146, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.108466, "annualized_volatility": 0.505803, "from_high_reference": -0.401397, "from_low_reference": 0.170144 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.809489, "fair_value_reference": 7.905313, "structural_low": 6.23, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": -0.000938, "positive_rate": 0.461538, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.018961, "regime_survival": 0.769231, "best_return": 0.284162, "worst_return": -0.268898, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.01438, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.03366, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.238886, "worst_return": -0.161956, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.078947, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.011508, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.238724, "worst_return": -0.193876, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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-73.133235, "energy": 89.588708, "activity_lines": [ 6.708, 7.373451, 8.005807, 8.561985 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 6.65, "volume": 143831776, "typical_volume": 67745174.15, "trend": 9.098363, "fair_value": 7.935539, "relative_strength": -26.935555, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.921868, "energy": 84.978139, "activity_lines": [ 6.662667, 7.153723, 7.823616, 8.398145 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.48, "volume": 89457865, "typical_volume": 67571347.25, "trend": 8.99756, "fair_value": 7.923256, "relative_strength": -28.58566, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.138797, "energy": 65.571767, "activity_lines": [ 6.584667, 6.940336, 7.646496, 8.229218 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.11, "volume": 80279945, "typical_volume": 68293063.7, "trend": 8.896216, "fair_value": 7.913893, "relative_strength": -20.022958, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.468068, "energy": 56.419411, "activity_lines": [ 6.754, 6.885091, 7.546048, 8.10744 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.29, "volume": 98484665, "typical_volume": 70022648.75, "trend": 8.809489, "fair_value": 7.905313, "relative_strength": -21.66898, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.46602, "energy": 42.496599, "activity_lines": [ 6.946, 6.892545, 7.476037, 8.003813 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }