{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c610c517-12f0-40b5-9a9d-a31d32e338e0", "symbol": "WOOF", "name": "Petco Health and Wellness Company, Inc.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 66.653, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -27.128, "architecture_energy": 17.199, "architecture_maturity": 67.986, "architecture_confidence": 95.694, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 37.78, "rotation_up": 32.77, "upward_expansion": 19.71, "deceleration": 41.24, "rotation_down": 27.18, "downward_expansion": 65.04 }, "activity_lines": [ 48.28, 47.543636, 48.579286, 49.231334 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 50.0, "trend_reference": 49.601334, "distance_from_trend": 0.008037, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 60.104808, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.16812, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -11.131799, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.06383, "excess_performance": 0.118497, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.008037, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.051497, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.16812, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.068072, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.111318, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.07704, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.06383, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.052916, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.052916, "dry_up": 0.166688, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.040538, "annualized_volatility": 0.68325, "from_high_reference": -0.315068, "from_low_reference": 0.190476 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 49.601334, "fair_value_reference": 60.104808, "structural_low": 42.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": -0.022046, "positive_rate": 0.413793, "directional_follow_through": 0.517241, "median_excess_return": -0.040613, "regime_survival": 0.827586, "best_return": 0.83871, "worst_return": -0.325843, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.092652, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.149335, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 1.0375, "worst_return": -0.532374, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.154014, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.225104, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 1.784375, "worst_return": -0.613095, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"gate": "down", "direction": -67.588143, "energy": 82.620044, "activity_lines": [ 46.36, 47.869091, 49.598953, 49.771377 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 45.0, "volume": 12, "typical_volume": 3830.65, "trend": 49.897667, "fair_value": 61.675961, "relative_strength": -21.559783, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.300287, "energy": 90.582277, "activity_lines": [ 45.826667, 47.124546, 49.074858, 49.439484 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 46.0, "volume": 30, "typical_volume": 3825.75, "trend": 49.697667, "fair_value": 61.095833, "relative_strength": -18.616765, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.714523, "energy": 82.81132, "activity_lines": [ 45.766667, 46.691818, 48.636, 49.188022 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 50.0, "volume": 215, "typical_volume": 617.3, "trend": 49.631, "fair_value": 60.570833, "relative_strength": -11.552125, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.898086, "energy": 35.309212, "activity_lines": [ 47.173334, 47.098182, 48.573334, 49.207527 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 50.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 385.45, "trend": 49.601334, "fair_value": 60.104808, "relative_strength": -11.131799, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -27.128265, "energy": 17.19861, "activity_lines": [ 48.28, 47.543636, 48.579286, 49.231334 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }