{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c61de170-7d03-4eec-a369-6b80767d1537", "symbol": "VICR", "name": "Vicor Corporation", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 70.207, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -16.775, "architecture_energy": 26.793, "architecture_maturity": 32.946, "architecture_confidence": 50.77, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.45, "rotation_up": 14.34, "upward_expansion": 20.14, "deceleration": 65.79, "rotation_down": 59.58, "downward_expansion": 36.14 }, "activity_lines": [ 221.053333, 248.312909, 261.554333, 246.730774 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 221.2, "trend_reference": 223.345, "distance_from_trend": -0.009604, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 83.690865, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.64306, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 23.784215, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.383624, "excess_performance": 0.196171, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.009604, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.325644, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.64306, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.234652, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.237842, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.85363, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.383624, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.531658, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2693882, "relative_activity": 0.645443, "balance": 0.531658, "dry_up": 1.044692, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.27454, "annualized_volatility": 0.871066, "from_high_reference": -0.421926, "from_low_reference": 3.867958 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 223.345, "fair_value_reference": 83.690865, "structural_low": 126.0, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.102727, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.083853, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.724235, "worst_return": -0.307951, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.178892, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.089894, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.817977, "worst_return": -0.391986, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.310858, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.335982, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.097347, "worst_return": -0.544628, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.377787, "energy": 16.874419, "activity_lines": [ 274.025333, 286.948364, 271.449333, 247.582323 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 211.01, "volume": 6135032, "typical_volume": 4353758.85, "trend": 217.698333, "fair_value": 81.928045, "relative_strength": 29.264419, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 9.192991, "energy": 16.916607, "activity_lines": [ 247.634, 272.546, 268.151762, 247.365849 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 207.37, "volume": 4966565, "typical_volume": 4413839.25, "trend": 220.715333, "fair_value": 82.759455, "relative_strength": 24.119565, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": -3.057534, "energy": 20.05816, "activity_lines": [ 228.053333, 258.621091, 264.277333, 246.699505 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 221.2, "volume": 2693882, "typical_volume": 4173697.1, "trend": 223.345, "fair_value": 83.690865, "relative_strength": 23.784215, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -16.77459, "energy": 26.793084, "activity_lines": [ 221.053333, 248.312909, 261.554333, 246.730774 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }