{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c620a478-967c-4e3f-a20b-844d0179a737", "symbol": "688337", "name": "Rigol Technologies Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 48.343, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -27.766, "architecture_energy": 61.598, "architecture_maturity": 19.817, "architecture_confidence": 76.321, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.49, "rotation_up": 14.04, "upward_expansion": 27.99, "deceleration": 49.9, "rotation_down": 71.21, "downward_expansion": 55.32 }, "activity_lines": [ 42.348668, 50.485231, 55.88128, 54.779145 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 44.330002, "trend_reference": 52.013213, "distance_from_trend": -0.147717, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 39.735461, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.115628, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -3.10021, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.181818, "excess_performance": 0.225022, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.147717, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.13242, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs 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"Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, 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"date": "2026-07-10", "close": 54.580002, "volume": 39306638, "typical_volume": 26049386.95, "trend": 51.458546, "fair_value": 40.086533, "relative_strength": 18.497937, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.3256, "energy": 30.495974, "activity_lines": [ 64.772787, 65.251094, 61.899067, 57.466705 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 41.490002, "volume": 27073218, "typical_volume": 26453550.25, "trend": 51.615213, "fair_value": 39.977202, "relative_strength": -4.59746, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "up", "direction": -2.156868, "energy": 15.774713, "activity_lines": [ 56.319335, 61.03939, 60.373752, 56.823573 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 40.34, "volume": 25651897, "typical_volume": 26456186.6, "trend": 51.728213, "fair_value": 39.883605, "relative_strength": -8.61723, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -37.507653, "energy": 42.121744, "activity_lines": [ 48.992668, 56.95664, 58.764721, 56.09614 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 38.75, "volume": 22135595, "typical_volume": 26698988.7, "trend": 51.765213, "fair_value": 39.787289, "relative_strength": -12.685627, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -38.219134, "energy": 51.718815, "activity_lines": [ 43.693334, 52.976316, 57.044834, 55.258836 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 44.330002, "volume": 23762226, "typical_volume": 27142717.1, "trend": 52.013213, "fair_value": 39.735461, "relative_strength": -3.10021, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -27.76621, "energy": 61.597995, "activity_lines": [ 42.348668, 50.485231, 55.88128, 54.779145 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }