{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c622de8f-d8c1-4ee2-8d86-f39fa743b14a", "symbol": "603179", "name": "Jiangsu Xinquan Automotive Trim Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.641, "architecture_energy": 73.16, "architecture_maturity": 25.587, "architecture_confidence": 79.211, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.01, "rotation_up": 11.49, "upward_expansion": 18.72, "deceleration": 34.29, "rotation_down": 76.02, "downward_expansion": 92.06 }, "activity_lines": [ 39.538, 43.042182, 46.284846, 47.991136 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 38.900002, "trend_reference": 51.511707, "distance_from_trend": -0.244832, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 38.01392, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.023309, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -21.146781, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.369376, "excess_performance": -0.326172, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.244832, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.021123, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.023309, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.363062, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.211468, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.231273, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.369376, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.483673, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 98522803, "relative_activity": 0.912584, "balance": 1.483673, "dry_up": 0.855421, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.176292, "annualized_volatility": 0.645292, "from_high_reference": -0.495024, "from_low_reference": 0.345074 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 51.511707, "fair_value_reference": 38.01392, "structural_low": 35.66, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.026987, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.002058, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.229483, "worst_return": -0.127088, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.068877, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.02811, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.5144, "worst_return": -0.115272, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.572101, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.39555, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.864, "worst_return": -0.043424, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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[ 46.359334, 48.610959, 49.080643, 50.612548 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 38.509998, "volume": 105139536, "typical_volume": 106390058.55, "trend": 52.212646, "fair_value": 37.916675, "relative_strength": -18.953138, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.069803, "energy": 62.185783, "activity_lines": [ 43.253333, 46.416, 48.052178, 49.712271 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 38.599998, "volume": 78772612, "typical_volume": 107177145.3, "trend": 51.964947, "fair_value": 37.967121, "relative_strength": -19.337707, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.121407, "energy": 71.672078, "activity_lines": [ 41.116666, 44.497272, 47.11794, 48.834036 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 38.900002, "volume": 98522803, "typical_volume": 107960223.15, "trend": 51.511707, "fair_value": 38.01392, "relative_strength": -21.146781, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.640734, "energy": 73.160192, "activity_lines": [ 39.538, 43.042182, 46.284846, 47.991136 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }