{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c62951a8-c49c-409d-ad75-29634f154602", "symbol": "FTE", "name": "Firetrade Engineering Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 67.064, "architecture_energy": 65.615, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 94.026, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 4.89, "rotation_up": 64.51, "upward_expansion": 87.67, "deceleration": 65.44, "rotation_down": 22.63, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.709333, 2.657455, 2.485597, 2.342507 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 2.64, "trend_reference": 2.170627, "distance_from_trend": 0.216238, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1.520573, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.736188, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 17.303609, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.409105, "excess_performance": 0.21678, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.216238, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.154725, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.736188, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.320147, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.173036, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.158764, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.409105, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.223118, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1644900, "relative_activity": 1.105559, "balance": 3.223118, "dry_up": 1.446286, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.056818, "annualized_volatility": 0.253754, "from_high_reference": -0.070423, "from_low_reference": 0.673846 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.170627, "fair_value_reference": 1.520573, "structural_low": 1.720588, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 31, "median_return": 0.012345, "positive_rate": 0.612903, "directional_follow_through": 0.612903, "median_excess_return": 0.023756, "regime_survival": 0.806452, "best_return": 0.156863, "worst_return": -0.059172, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.045161, "positive_rate": 0.727273, "directional_follow_through": 0.727273, "median_excess_return": 0.064641, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.234461, "worst_return": -0.100592, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.09183, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.123087, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.430334, "worst_return": -0.118343, "sufficient": true }, { 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2.570667, 2.482909, 2.290048, 2.178505 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 2.82, "volume": 3674400, "typical_volume": 1450365.0, "trend": 2.079696, "fair_value": 1.491694, "relative_strength": 25.587904, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 90.293544, "energy": 75.762758, "activity_lines": [ 2.669333, 2.562182, 2.353922, 2.228549 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.72, "volume": 2888600, "typical_volume": 1507055.0, "trend": 2.111098, "fair_value": 1.501496, "relative_strength": 20.064679, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.376647, "energy": 69.434621, "activity_lines": [ 2.704, 2.608364, 2.403721, 2.269859 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.74, "volume": 399500, "typical_volume": 1487170.0, "trend": 2.142848, "fair_value": 1.511284, "relative_strength": 21.540307, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.716884, "energy": 68.542529, "activity_lines": [ 2.732, 2.645818, 2.451393, 2.310433 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.64, "volume": 1644900, "typical_volume": 1487845.0, "trend": 2.170627, "fair_value": 1.520573, "relative_strength": 17.303609, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.063789, "energy": 65.614707, "activity_lines": [ 2.709333, 2.657455, 2.485597, 2.342507 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }