{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c6481c63-e1ed-4b4e-b180-e26b3922df0a", "symbol": "RCI", "name": "Rogers Communications Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 85.152, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -51.993, "architecture_energy": 32.144, "architecture_maturity": 21.176, "architecture_confidence": 83.491, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 41.42, "rotation_up": 19.07, "upward_expansion": 3.53, "deceleration": 55.74, "rotation_down": 47.86, "downward_expansion": 74.53 }, "activity_lines": [ 33.879333, 34.108268, 34.934217, 35.418714 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 34.47, "trend_reference": 35.958336, "distance_from_trend": -0.041391, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 34.381928, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.002562, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -14.663099, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.026329, "excess_performance": -0.151954, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.041391, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.016431, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.002562, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.049839, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.146631, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.096481, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.026329, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.28346, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5665946, "relative_activity": 0.867266, "balance": 1.28346, "dry_up": 1.164904, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.069038, "annualized_volatility": 0.353197, "from_high_reference": -0.146322, "from_low_reference": 0.09847 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 35.958336, "fair_value_reference": 34.381928, "structural_low": 31.38, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": -0.010116, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": 0.003373, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.16797, "worst_return": -0.14186, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.021133, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": -0.016054, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.353231, "worst_return": -0.21535, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.053521, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.007881, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.492462, "worst_return": -0.231932, "sufficient": true }, { 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contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.295091, "energy": 60.390548, "activity_lines": [ 33.808667, 35.076404, 35.494519, 35.890053 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 32.73, "volume": 8646559, "typical_volume": 6319339.3, "trend": 36.11181, "fair_value": 34.422487, "relative_strength": -15.662095, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.294956, "energy": 72.948556, "activity_lines": [ 33.277333, 34.538194, 35.188364, 35.663297 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 33.85, "volume": 9488137, "typical_volume": 6554678.8, "trend": 35.999221, "fair_value": 34.401103, "relative_strength": -13.487485, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.494729, "energy": 55.876345, "activity_lines": [ 33.442, 34.245009, 35.021042, 35.517374 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 34.47, "volume": 5665946, "typical_volume": 6533115.15, "trend": 35.958336, "fair_value": 34.381928, "relative_strength": -14.663099, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.992949, "energy": 32.143526, "activity_lines": [ 33.879333, 34.108268, 34.934217, 35.418714 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }