{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c648285a-531f-48ac-9b00-549efffe229d", "symbol": "601216", "name": "Inner Mongolia Junzheng Energy & Chemical Group Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -44.829, "architecture_energy": 35.125, "architecture_maturity": 76.312, "architecture_confidence": 84.07, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 27.64, "rotation_up": 27.36, "upward_expansion": 18.37, "deceleration": 46.92, "rotation_down": 33.79, "downward_expansion": 66.04 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.593333, 4.531548, 4.764241, 4.992465 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 4.55, "trend_reference": 5.249119, "distance_from_trend": -0.133188, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.593585, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.009488, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -12.223659, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.230118, "excess_performance": -0.186915, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.133188, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.026559, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.009488, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.245991, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.122237, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.067605, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.230118, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.170917, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 264641424, "relative_activity": 0.893939, "balance": 1.170917, "dry_up": 1.060832, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.070204, "annualized_volatility": 0.368901, "from_high_reference": -0.325926, "from_low_reference": 0.083981 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.249119, "fair_value_reference": 4.593585, "structural_low": 4.197489, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": -0.004098, "positive_rate": 0.421053, "directional_follow_through": 0.578947, "median_excess_return": -0.001306, "regime_survival": 0.736842, "best_return": 0.299372, "worst_return": -0.113594, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.0651, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": 0.008133, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.297131, "worst_return": -0.158215, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.014256, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.006746, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.070732, "worst_return": -0.099526, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"activity_lines": [ 4.593333, 4.531548, 4.764241, 4.992465 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }