{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c649f829-e68c-44dd-ab02-c40d591c5551", "symbol": "BKA", "name": "Sin Heng Heavy Machinery Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -91.499, "architecture_energy": 93.479, "architecture_maturity": 20.794, "architecture_confidence": 78.069, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.2, "rotation_up": 8.57, "upward_expansion": 20.98, "deceleration": 37.55, "rotation_down": 88.18, "downward_expansion": 98.98 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.569, 0.587636, 0.618793, 0.630752 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 0.54, "trend_reference": 0.642803, "distance_from_trend": -0.159929, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.494956, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.091005, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -29.865976, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.182252, "excess_performance": -0.337087, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.159929, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.023995, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.091005, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.357002, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.29866, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.27363, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.182252, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.134367, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 68400, "relative_activity": 0.428639, "balance": 0.134367, "dry_up": 0.402475, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.046296, "annualized_volatility": 0.175402, "from_high_reference": -0.225864, "from_low_reference": 0.085237 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.642803, "fair_value_reference": 0.494956, "structural_low": 0.53, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.034884, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.007018, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.062501, "worst_return": -0.021477, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.075949, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.051838, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.075949, "worst_return": 0.075949, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.164554, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.133954, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.164554, "worst_return": 0.164554, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, 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0.598667, 0.621182, 0.640584, 0.646359 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.585, "volume": 100700, "typical_volume": 166210.0, "trend": 0.649338, "fair_value": 0.491861, "relative_strength": -23.694855, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.903744, "energy": 90.31984, "activity_lines": [ 0.591, 0.611273, 0.634578, 0.642096 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.58, "volume": 45800, "typical_volume": 166535.0, "trend": 0.646505, "fair_value": 0.49356, "relative_strength": -24.337277, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.269159, "energy": 89.018863, "activity_lines": [ 0.585667, 0.602091, 0.62841, 0.637623 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.54, "volume": 68400, "typical_volume": 159575.0, "trend": 0.642803, "fair_value": 0.494956, "relative_strength": -29.865976, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -91.498819, "energy": 93.479204, "activity_lines": [ 0.569, 0.587636, 0.618793, 0.630752 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }