{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c65f7d0d-eff6-4292-bcd9-2b7de59405e2", "symbol": "MV4", "name": "Mewah International Inc.", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3c", "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch", "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch", "confidence": 89.423, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -67.147, "architecture_energy": 37.8, "architecture_maturity": 19.014, "architecture_confidence": 93.779, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.94, "rotation_up": 18.01, "upward_expansion": 4.17, "deceleration": 47.32, "rotation_down": 54.36, "downward_expansion": 77.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.287, 0.289273, 0.294141, 0.29697 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.275, "trend_reference": 0.301429, "distance_from_trend": -0.087679, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.270695, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.015904, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -22.817455, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.108561, "excess_performance": -0.263396, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.087679, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.000164, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.015904, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.178304, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.228175, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.240451, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.108561, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.6709, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 493800, "relative_activity": 2.140906, "balance": 0.6709, "dry_up": 1.074463, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.064336, "annualized_volatility": 0.349361, "from_high_reference": -0.186077, "from_low_reference": 0.107518 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.301429, "fair_value_reference": 0.270695, "structural_low": 0.27, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.013805, "regime_survival": 0.851852, "best_return": 0.092104, "worst_return": -0.076921, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.018868, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.029635, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.133332, "worst_return": -0.124821, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.005672, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.002853, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.089742, "worst_return": -0.153516, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.509883, "energy": 41.976772, "activity_lines": [ 0.291333, 0.293727, 0.297741, 0.299951 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.29, "volume": 124400, "typical_volume": 206275.0, "trend": 0.302016, "fair_value": 0.270313, "relative_strength": -17.627507, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.011196, "energy": 31.267672, "activity_lines": [ 0.291, 0.292545, 0.296911, 0.299189 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.295, "volume": 299400, "typical_volume": 210795.0, "trend": 0.302382, "fair_value": 0.270553, "relative_strength": -16.557861, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.569447, "energy": 22.823163, "activity_lines": [ 0.292667, 0.292727, 0.296481, 0.298736 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.275, "volume": 493800, "typical_volume": 230650.0, "trend": 0.301429, "fair_value": 0.270695, "relative_strength": -22.817455, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.14657, "energy": 37.79965, "activity_lines": [ 0.287, 0.289273, 0.294141, 0.29697 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }