{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "c67472a1-3c54-415c-98c5-a3d7795a606e",
    "symbol": "EX36",
    "name": "iShares (DE) I - iShares STOXX Europe 600 Utilities UCITS ETF (DE)",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 36.753,
    "architecture_energy": 20.713,
    "architecture_maturity": 32.629,
    "architecture_confidence": 73.453,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 45.09,
        "rotation_up": 37.33,
        "upward_expansion": 62.86,
        "deceleration": 83.3,
        "rotation_down": 25.3,
        "downward_expansion": 15.19
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 57.740002,
    "trend_reference": 57.052,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.012059,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 44.498301,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.297578,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -11.115339,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.042238,
    "excess_performance": -0.132008,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.012059,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.0493,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.297578,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.029056,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.111153,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.072855,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.042238,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 5.0,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 5.0,
      "dry_up": 0.348509,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.025526,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.219031,
      "from_high_reference": -0.033802,
      "from_low_reference": 0.320979
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 44.498301,
      "structural_low": 54.119999,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 27,
        "median_return": 0.00142,
        "positive_rate": 0.518519,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.518519,
        "median_excess_return": -0.019261,
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        "worst_return": -0.068265,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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          58.414666,
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          56.843,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 56.990002,
        "volume": 75,
        "typical_volume": 1035.1,
        "trend": 53.6055,
        "fair_value": 42.958365,
        "relative_strength": -3.82985,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 54.617194,
        "energy": 35.685608,
        "activity_lines": [
          57.910001,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 55.080002,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1013.65,
        "trend": 53.833833,
        "fair_value": 43.0575,
        "relative_strength": -6.542373,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 30.899673,
        "energy": 19.556163,
        "activity_lines": [
          56.897335,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 57.349998,
        "volume": 530,
        "typical_volume": 1040.15,
        "trend": 54.132167,
        "fair_value": 43.176731,
        "relative_strength": -4.512678,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 34.948967,
        "energy": 18.012495,
        "activity_lines": [
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          55.902043
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 56.189999,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1040.15,
        "trend": 54.3715,
        "fair_value": 43.28484,
        "relative_strength": -8.74091,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 29.486424,
        "energy": 19.240675,
        "activity_lines": [
          56.575333,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 56.900002,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 950.1,
        "trend": 54.628,
        "fair_value": 43.396699,
        "relative_strength": -6.425203,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 18.539599,
        "energy": 14.244141,
        "activity_lines": [
          56.564,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 57.43,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 920.25,
        "trend": 54.879667,
        "fair_value": 43.507019,
        "relative_strength": -7.912929,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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        "energy": 14.439072,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 57.049999,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 711.3,
        "trend": 55.13,
        "fair_value": 43.619519,
        "relative_strength": -11.951791,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 30.890874,
        "energy": 15.826578,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 58.540001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 591.9,
        "trend": 55.411,
        "fair_value": 43.738365,
        "relative_strength": -7.672616,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 51.478937,
        "energy": 31.141569,
        "activity_lines": [
          57.545334,
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          57.290571,
          56.738731
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 59.669998,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 502.35,
        "trend": 55.750333,
        "fair_value": 43.871571,
        "relative_strength": -7.892724,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.340601,
        "energy": 63.201925,
        "activity_lines": [
          58.361333,
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          57.521619,
          57.013505
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 58.52,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 441.6,
        "trend": 56.067333,
        "fair_value": 43.993494,
        "relative_strength": -8.312804,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 55.507948,
        "energy": 58.214701,
        "activity_lines": [
          58.562,
          57.871636,
          57.628428,
          57.192193
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 58.990002,
        "volume": 222,
        "typical_volume": 447.4,
        "trend": 56.378333,
        "fair_value": 44.117756,
        "relative_strength": -5.66085,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.633522,
        "energy": 64.347108,
        "activity_lines": [
          58.811334,
          58.165818,
          57.769429,
          57.380753
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 59.150002,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 363.45,
        "trend": 56.683333,
        "fair_value": 44.244231,
        "relative_strength": -6.584895,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.500138,
        "energy": 63.221711,
        "activity_lines": [
          59.010001,
          58.452728,
          57.926476,
          57.55957
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 57.349998,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 218.95,
        "trend": 56.885,
        "fair_value": 44.370449,
        "relative_strength": -9.221888,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 47.039801,
        "energy": 29.768561,
        "activity_lines": [
          58.468667,
          58.338364,
          57.897905,
          57.602581
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 57.740002,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 159.25,
        "trend": 57.052,
        "fair_value": 44.498301,
        "relative_strength": -11.115339,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 36.753313,
        "energy": 20.713136,
        "activity_lines": [
          58.136667,
          58.29491,
          57.910476,
          57.657742
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}