{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c67d3c3d-f44c-4d33-9b18-97a68ac3f0f4", "symbol": "1472", "name": "Triocean Industrial Corporation Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 95.737, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 55.146, "architecture_energy": 43.714, "architecture_maturity": 10.613, "architecture_confidence": 73.022, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.77, "rotation_up": 59.53, "upward_expansion": 80.45, "deceleration": 51.25, "rotation_down": 13.44, "downward_expansion": 7.12 }, "activity_lines": [ 89.113334, 88.462551, 87.083059, 86.840685 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 89.0, "trend_reference": 86.185156, "distance_from_trend": 0.03266, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 70.267006, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.266597, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -26.143518, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.059106, "excess_performance": -0.382266, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.03266, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.013299, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.266597, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.005635, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.261435, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.086983, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.059106, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.832653, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 198872, "relative_activity": 1.15619, "balance": 4.832653, "dry_up": 1.167039, "accumulation_observations": 8, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.039672, "annualized_volatility": 0.132461, "from_high_reference": -0.038148, "from_low_reference": 0.141551 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 86.185156, "fair_value_reference": 70.267006, "structural_low": 80.111599, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": 0.018916, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.001894, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.345902, "worst_return": -0.134615, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.069307, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.02603, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.444262, "worst_return": -0.163048, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.348048, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.329682, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.736634, "worst_return": -0.15872, "sufficient": false }, { 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86.309673, 86.113627, 85.929158 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 89.5, "volume": 302001, "typical_volume": 215732.0, "trend": 85.575542, "fair_value": 69.294435, "relative_strength": -24.775638, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.732342, "energy": 57.305624, "activity_lines": [ 88.499999, 87.054052, 86.410181, 86.195712 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 89.599998, "volume": 191000, "typical_volume": 205982.4, "trend": 85.804677, "fair_value": 69.620394, "relative_strength": -22.841011, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.857234, "energy": 62.821557, "activity_lines": [ 89.113332, 87.710426, 86.691115, 86.455355 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 88.800003, "volume": 111080, "typical_volume": 167964.45, "trend": 86.022707, "fair_value": 69.942071, "relative_strength": -24.571138, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.588933, "energy": 53.896402, "activity_lines": [ 89.12, 88.111642, 86.87513, 86.648602 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 89.0, "volume": 198872, "typical_volume": 172006.4, "trend": 86.185156, "fair_value": 70.267006, "relative_strength": -26.143518, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.146006, "energy": 43.714203, "activity_lines": [ 89.113334, 88.462551, 87.083059, 86.840685 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }