{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c68a4435-1bfc-4ad6-b953-6f1e4ea057a8", "symbol": "CAML", "name": "Central Asia Metals plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -18.647, "architecture_energy": 24.322, "architecture_maturity": 84.363, "architecture_confidence": 71.538, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.34, "rotation_up": 38.19, "upward_expansion": 22.32, "deceleration": 44.15, "rotation_down": 19.2, "downward_expansion": 56.32 }, "activity_lines": [ 147.986667, 142.341818, 143.747261, 151.316027 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 154.6, "trend_reference": 165.709704, "distance_from_trend": -0.067043, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 171.586421, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.098996, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -13.611682, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.275513, "excess_performance": -0.326748, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.067043, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.063543, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.098996, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.022501, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.136117, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.000186, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.275513, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.678728, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4030351, "relative_activity": 1.138955, "balance": 2.678728, "dry_up": 0.978981, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.063446, "annualized_volatility": 0.558552, "from_high_reference": -0.366073, "from_low_reference": 0.226984 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 165.709704, "fair_value_reference": 171.586421, 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154.844 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 147.6, "volume": 3406996, "typical_volume": 3739966.05, "trend": 168.103412, "fair_value": 172.082462, "relative_strength": -16.841642, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.072201, "energy": 39.096969, "activity_lines": [ 139.76, 138.086647, 143.107215, 153.44054 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 147.4, "volume": 2704811, "typical_volume": 3602984.55, "trend": 166.826538, "fair_value": 171.840773, "relative_strength": -17.686755, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.759522, "energy": 26.374055, "activity_lines": [ 143.253333, 139.504028, 143.024112, 152.104836 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 154.6, "volume": 4030351, "typical_volume": 3538639.7, "trend": 165.709704, "fair_value": 171.586421, "relative_strength": -13.611682, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -18.647222, "energy": 24.321809, "activity_lines": [ 147.986667, 142.341818, 143.747261, 151.316027 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }