{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c6ba857b-6a36-47f4-8ae1-3678efe8d188", "symbol": "DOCS", "name": "Doximity Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": 6.547, "architecture_energy": 9.271, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 56.875, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 62.6, "rotation_up": 31.46, "upward_expansion": 29.5, "deceleration": 49.48, "rotation_down": 21.48, "downward_expansion": 44.83 }, "activity_lines": [ 23.114, 22.212364, 21.94481, 22.58929 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 27.4, "trend_reference": 24.655333, "distance_from_trend": 0.111321, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 39.891026, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.313129, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -38.854413, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.0119, "excess_performance": -0.137525, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.111321, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.255711, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.313129, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.05048, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.388544, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.139916, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.0119, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.612167, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 97689537, "relative_activity": 4.471245, "balance": 1.612167, "dry_up": 1.629791, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.139879, "annualized_volatility": 0.695118, "from_high_reference": -0.641877, "from_low_reference": 0.597668 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 24.655333, "fair_value_reference": 39.891026, "structural_low": 17.15, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.034376, "positive_rate": 0.384615, "directional_follow_through": 0.615385, "median_excess_return": -0.011533, "regime_survival": 0.923077, "best_return": 0.234204, "worst_return": -0.393602, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.0807, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.153959, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.199748, "worst_return": -0.440779, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.16551, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.283654, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.200252, "worst_return": -0.531271, "sufficient": false }, { 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"fair_value": 40.046795, "relative_strength": -53.21125, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.474667, "energy": 25.750606, "activity_lines": [ 21.498667, 21.100727, 21.746333, 23.17914 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 20.42, "volume": 14125886, "typical_volume": 17299800.1, "trend": 25.947667, "fair_value": 39.950321, "relative_strength": -54.365082, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.230172, "energy": 26.826809, "activity_lines": [ 21.206, 21.042, 21.554238, 22.772473 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 20.91, "volume": 18601048, "typical_volume": 17635143.95, "trend": 25.201667, "fair_value": 39.868077, "relative_strength": -52.798776, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.195185, "energy": 25.293983, "activity_lines": [ 21.079333, 21.046, 21.432238, 22.447462 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 27.4, "volume": 97689537, "typical_volume": 21848396.55, "trend": 24.655333, "fair_value": 39.891026, "relative_strength": -38.854413, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 6.547293, "energy": 9.271362, "activity_lines": [ 23.114, 22.212364, 21.94481, 22.58929 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }