{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c6bef20f-35f7-40ed-a4fe-6e9d8ae73688", "symbol": "EOLU-B", "name": "Eolus Aktiebolag (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 91.982, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -27.716, "architecture_energy": 57.505, "architecture_maturity": 9.08, "architecture_confidence": 82.659, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.68, "rotation_up": 16.97, "upward_expansion": 29.5, "deceleration": 46.63, "rotation_down": 68.61, "downward_expansion": 54.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 36.926666, 38.312727, 39.978095, 39.577419 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 36.549999, "trend_reference": 39.028333, "distance_from_trend": -0.063501, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 54.001548, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.323168, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -19.479454, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.028129, "excess_performance": -0.033365, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.063501, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.006882, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.323168, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.120335, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.194795, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.130847, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.028129, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.188295, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 109146, "relative_activity": 0.58685, "balance": 0.188295, "dry_up": 0.744797, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.075029, "annualized_volatility": 0.33774, "from_high_reference": -0.350996, "from_low_reference": 0.099467 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 39.028333, "fair_value_reference": 54.001548, "structural_low": 33.25, 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41.119523, 40.20258 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 40.799999, "volume": 105338, "typical_volume": 205430.15, "trend": 39.69, "fair_value": 54.735466, "relative_strength": -11.048721, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.297727, "energy": 19.356331, "activity_lines": [ 40.836667, 41.629091, 41.217381, 40.276989 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 37.75, "volume": 160020, "typical_volume": 202907.2, "trend": 39.613333, "fair_value": 54.551254, "relative_strength": -15.905805, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -4.746263, "energy": 12.570884, "activity_lines": [ 39.856667, 40.764545, 41.005714, 40.151828 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 36.549999, "volume": 136363, "typical_volume": 200701.15, "trend": 39.46, "fair_value": 54.344663, "relative_strength": -18.816975, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -29.849926, "energy": 25.587545, "activity_lines": [ 38.706666, 39.81, 40.675, 39.954193 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 36.299999, "volume": 148559, "typical_volume": 191382.9, "trend": 39.23, "fair_value": 54.160555, "relative_strength": -19.573814, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -32.265087, "energy": 48.383532, "activity_lines": [ 37.683333, 38.947272, 40.313333, 39.750322 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 36.549999, "volume": 109146, "typical_volume": 185986.3, "trend": 39.028333, "fair_value": 54.001548, "relative_strength": -19.479454, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -27.715775, "energy": 57.504886, "activity_lines": [ 36.926666, 38.312727, 39.978095, 39.577419 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }