{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "c6c603c2-8f64-4099-a917-0392c76e697f",
    "symbol": "GULFOILLUB",
    "name": "Gulf Oil Lubricants India Limited",
    "exchange": "NSI",
    "country": "IN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^NSEI",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch",
    "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch",
    "confidence": 56.423,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 56.17,
    "architecture_energy": 51.083,
    "architecture_maturity": 24.156,
    "architecture_confidence": 75.423,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 21.76,
        "rotation_up": 62.75,
        "upward_expansion": 52.55,
        "deceleration": 33.47,
        "rotation_down": 20.25,
        "downward_expansion": 15.55
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        1089.61335,
        1063.630923,
        1020.883342,
        1008.859641
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 1189.5,
    "trend_reference": 1010.665318,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.176947,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 1003.415031,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.185452,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 10.733937,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.086518,
    "excess_performance": 0.130227,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.176947,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.041043,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.185452,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.137206,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.107339,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.183805,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.086518,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.490708,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1469222,
      "relative_activity": 4.321063,
      "balance": 2.490708,
      "dry_up": 1.807005,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.059637,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.36747,
      "from_high_reference": -0.068298,
      "from_low_reference": 0.375145
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 1010.665318,
      "fair_value_reference": 1003.415031,
      "structural_low": 865.0,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.0119,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.023438,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.13632,
        "worst_return": -0.058845,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.148303,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.09683,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.330621,
        "worst_return": -0.034014,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.252478,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.208356,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.565998,
        "worst_return": -0.061043,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.296819,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.199609,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.296819,
        "worst_return": 0.296819,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-11-22",
        "end": "2024-12-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.086566,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-12-20",
        "end": "2024-12-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.032793,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.069504,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.065429,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-03-07",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.012484,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-18",
        "end": "2025-08-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.053478,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-09-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.110277,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-11-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.052231,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-11-21",
        "end": "2025-12-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.020181,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2025-12-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.027605,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-01-02",
        "end": "2026-01-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.080218,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-01-23",
        "end": "2026-06-19",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.00725,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-06-26",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.027545,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-07-10",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.13632,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "fair_value": 995.615731,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 1069.300049,
        "volume": 308353,
        "typical_volume": 291228.0,
        "trend": 1008.552089,
        "fair_value": 999.265156,
        "relative_strength": 0.405643,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 37.126203,
        "energy": 27.344803,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 1189.5,
        "volume": 1469222,
        "typical_volume": 340014.05,
        "trend": 1010.665318,
        "fair_value": 1003.415031,
        "relative_strength": 10.733937,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 51.083316,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}